Aplex Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

6570 Stock  TWD 38.95  0.05  0.13%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Aplex Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 37.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.25. Aplex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Aplex Technology's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aplex Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Aplex Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Aplex Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aplex Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aplex Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aplex Technology from the perspective of Aplex Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Aplex Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 37.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.25.

Aplex Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 38.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aplex Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Aplex Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aplex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aplex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aplex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Aplex Technology price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Aplex Technology Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Aplex Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 37.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 1.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aplex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aplex Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aplex Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aplex TechnologyAplex Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Aplex Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aplex Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aplex Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.10 and 38.38, respectively. We have considered Aplex Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.95
37.24
Expected Value
38.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aplex Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aplex Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.2297
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9395
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0237
SAESum of the absolute errors58.2484
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Aplex Technology historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Aplex Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aplex Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.8138.9540.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.4939.6240.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.3738.3639.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Aplex Technology

For every potential investor in Aplex, whether a beginner or expert, Aplex Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aplex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aplex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aplex Technology's price trends.

Aplex Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aplex Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aplex Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aplex Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aplex Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aplex Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aplex Technology's current price.

Aplex Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aplex Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aplex Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aplex Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aplex Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aplex Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aplex Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aplex Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aplex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Aplex Technology

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aplex Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aplex Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Aplex Stock

  0.662382 Quanta ComputerPairCorr
  0.873005 Getac Technology CorpPairCorr
  0.756756 VIA LabsPairCorr

Moving against Aplex Stock

  0.813666 Optivision TechnologyPairCorr
  0.726669 Wiwynn CorpPairCorr
  0.695289 InnoDiskPairCorr
  0.491432 Trk CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aplex Technology could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aplex Technology when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aplex Technology - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aplex Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Aplex Technology is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aplex Technology moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aplex Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aplex Technology can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Aplex Stock Analysis

When running Aplex Technology's price analysis, check to measure Aplex Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aplex Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Aplex Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aplex Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aplex Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aplex Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.