Poindus Systems Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

6599 Stock   65.20  1.70  2.68%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Poindus Systems Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 67.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.44. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Poindus Systems' stock prices and determine the direction of Poindus Systems Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Poindus Systems' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. As of today the value of rsi of Poindus Systems' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Poindus Systems' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Poindus Systems and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Poindus Systems' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Poindus Systems Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Poindus Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Poindus Systems Corp from the perspective of Poindus Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Poindus Systems Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 67.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.44.

Poindus Systems after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 65.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Poindus Systems Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Poindus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Poindus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Poindus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Poindus Systems is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Poindus Systems Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Poindus Systems Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Poindus Systems Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 67.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Poindus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Poindus Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Poindus Systems Stock Forecast Pattern

Poindus Systems Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Poindus Systems' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Poindus Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.36 and 70.02, respectively. We have considered Poindus Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
65.20
67.69
Expected Value
70.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Poindus Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Poindus Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria66.4763
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6193
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0107
SAESum of the absolute errors20.4378
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Poindus Systems Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Poindus Systems. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Poindus Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Poindus Systems Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Poindus Systems

For every potential investor in Poindus, whether a beginner or expert, Poindus Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Poindus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Poindus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Poindus Systems' price trends.

Poindus Systems Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Poindus Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Poindus Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Poindus Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Poindus Systems Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Poindus Systems' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Poindus Systems' current price.

Poindus Systems Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Poindus Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Poindus Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Poindus Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Poindus Systems Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Poindus Systems Risk Indicators

The analysis of Poindus Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Poindus Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting poindus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Poindus Systems

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Poindus Systems position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Poindus Systems will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Poindus Stock

  0.71303 Nan Ya PlasticsPairCorr
  0.642454 MediaTekPairCorr
  0.632882 Cathay Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.542303 United MicroelectronicsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Poindus Systems could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Poindus Systems when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Poindus Systems - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Poindus Systems Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Poindus Systems is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Poindus Systems moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Poindus Systems Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Poindus Systems can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Poindus Stock Analysis

When running Poindus Systems' price analysis, check to measure Poindus Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Poindus Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Poindus Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Poindus Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Poindus Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Poindus Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.