Gallant Micro Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 6640 Stock | TWD 690.00 28.00 3.90% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gallant Micro Machining on the next trading day is expected to be 690.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 874.00. Gallant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Gallant Micro's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gallant Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gallant Micro Machining from the perspective of Gallant Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gallant Micro Machining on the next trading day is expected to be 690.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 874.00. Gallant Micro after-hype prediction price | TWD 690.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gallant |
Gallant Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gallant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gallant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gallant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gallant Micro Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gallant Micro Machining on the next trading day is expected to be 690.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.33, mean absolute percentage error of 352.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 874.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gallant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gallant Micro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gallant Micro Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gallant Micro | Gallant Micro Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gallant Micro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gallant Micro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gallant Micro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 686.90 and 693.10, respectively. We have considered Gallant Micro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gallant Micro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gallant Micro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.9766 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1311 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 14.3279 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0233 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 874.0 |
Predictive Modules for Gallant Micro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gallant Micro Machining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Gallant Micro
For every potential investor in Gallant, whether a beginner or expert, Gallant Micro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gallant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gallant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gallant Micro's price trends.Gallant Micro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gallant Micro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gallant Micro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gallant Micro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gallant Micro Machining Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gallant Micro's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gallant Micro's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gallant Micro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gallant Micro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gallant Micro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gallant Micro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gallant Micro Machining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 87935.42 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.55) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 711.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 704.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (35.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (28.00) |
Gallant Micro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gallant Micro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gallant Micro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gallant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Variance | 8.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Gallant Micro
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Gallant Micro position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gallant Micro will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Gallant Stock
Moving against Gallant Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Gallant Micro could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Gallant Micro when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Gallant Micro - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Gallant Micro Machining to buy it.
The correlation of Gallant Micro is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Gallant Micro moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Gallant Micro Machining moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Gallant Micro can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Gallant Stock Analysis
When running Gallant Micro's price analysis, check to measure Gallant Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gallant Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Gallant Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gallant Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gallant Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gallant Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.