Kim Forest Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 6645 Stock | 18.10 0.20 1.12% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kim Forest hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kim Forest Enterprise from the perspective of Kim Forest response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kim Forest Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 18.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.50. Kim Forest after-hype prediction price | TWD 17.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kim |
Kim Forest Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kim price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kim using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kim charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kim Forest Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kim Forest Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 18.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kim Forest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kim Forest Stock Forecast Pattern
Kim Forest Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kim Forest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kim Forest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.19 and 20.01, respectively. We have considered Kim Forest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kim Forest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kim Forest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2305 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0617 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2583 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.5 |
Predictive Modules for Kim Forest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kim Forest Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kim Forest Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Kim Forest at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kim Forest or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kim Forest, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kim Forest Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kim Forest is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kim Forest backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kim Forest, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.10 | 17.90 | 0.00 |
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Kim Forest Hype Timeline
Kim Forest Enterprise is presently traded for 18.10on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kim is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kim Forest is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.10. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.Kim Forest Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kim Forest's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kim Forest's future price movements. Getting to know how Kim Forest's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kim Forest may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6496 | Excelsior Biopharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.39 | (1.37) | 7.62 | |
| 4194 | Holy Stone Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.37 | (7.13) | 17.59 | |
| 4150 | Unicon Optical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.76 | (2.69) | 11.57 | |
| 6827 | MegaPro Biomedical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.19 | (7.93) | 13.44 | |
| 4171 | GeneReach Biotechnology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.77 | 0.03 | 9.88 | (5.17) | 19.34 | |
| 4160 | Genetics Generation Advancement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.58 | (3.17) | 11.39 | |
| 7725 | LabTurbo Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.12 | 0.02 | 3.43 | (4.67) | 10.34 | |
| 7427 | Great Novel Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.95 | 0.06 | 25.82 | (5.28) | 76.20 | |
| 4188 | AmCad BioMed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.44 | (2.01) | 7.33 | |
| 6677 | Anxo Pharmaceutical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.87 | (3.32) | 12.49 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kim Forest
For every potential investor in Kim, whether a beginner or expert, Kim Forest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kim Forest's price trends.Kim Forest Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kim Forest stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kim Forest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kim Forest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kim Forest Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kim Forest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kim Forest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kim Forest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kim Forest Enterprise entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kim Forest Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kim Forest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kim Forest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Variance | 7.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kim Forest
The number of cover stories for Kim Forest depends on current market conditions and Kim Forest's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kim Forest is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kim Forest's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Kim Stock Analysis
When running Kim Forest's price analysis, check to measure Kim Forest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kim Forest is operating at the current time. Most of Kim Forest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kim Forest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kim Forest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kim Forest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.