Luminescence Technology Stock Forward View
| 6729 Stock | 56.50 6.00 11.88% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Luminescence Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luminescence Technology Corp from the perspective of Luminescence Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Luminescence Technology Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 49.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.19. Luminescence Technology after-hype prediction price | TWD 56.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Luminescence |
Luminescence Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Luminescence price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luminescence using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luminescence charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Luminescence Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Luminescence Technology Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 49.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.11, mean absolute percentage error of 11.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Luminescence Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Luminescence Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Luminescence Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Luminescence Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Luminescence Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.401 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1105 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0464 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 118.1893 |
Predictive Modules for Luminescence Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luminescence Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Luminescence Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Luminescence Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luminescence Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Luminescence Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Luminescence Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luminescence Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luminescence Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luminescence Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.99 | 7.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
56.50 | 56.50 | 0.00 |
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Luminescence Technology Hype Timeline
Luminescence Technology is presently traded for 56.50on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Luminescence is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.99%. %. The volatility of related hype on Luminescence Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.50. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.Luminescence Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Luminescence Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luminescence Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Luminescence Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luminescence Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6127 | Leatec Fine Ceramics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.06 | 0.07 | 9.94 | (4.62) | 17.37 | |
| 6209 | Kinko Optical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.09 | 0.05 | 6.86 | (5.14) | 18.33 | |
| 1777 | SYN Tech Chem Pharm | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.10 | (1.30) | 2.96 | |
| 5236 | Sunplus Innovation Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.66 | (0.07) | 2.58 | (2.86) | 7.15 | |
| 3073 | Teamphon Energy Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.90 | 0.01 | 9.96 | (5.44) | 19.16 | |
| 2485 | Zinwell | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.05 | 0.27 | 9.98 | (5.98) | 19.99 | |
| 2412 | Chunghwa Telecom Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | (0.17) | 0.77 | (0.76) | 1.92 | |
| 00923 | Capital Tip Customized | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.16 | 2.83 | (1.70) | 6.42 | |
| 4714 | U Best Polymer Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.90 | (3.11) | 9.75 |
Luminescence Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Luminescence Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Luminescence Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Luminescence Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Luminescence Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Luminescence Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Luminescence Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Luminescence Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Luminescence Technology Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Luminescence Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Luminescence Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Luminescence Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting luminescence stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.37 | |||
| Variance | 54.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.12) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Luminescence Technology
The number of cover stories for Luminescence Technology depends on current market conditions and Luminescence Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luminescence Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luminescence Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Luminescence Stock Analysis
When running Luminescence Technology's price analysis, check to measure Luminescence Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luminescence Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Luminescence Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luminescence Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luminescence Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luminescence Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.