Acon Optics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 6820 Stock | TWD 69.90 1.30 1.83% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acon Optics Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 62.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.31. Acon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Acon Optics' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Acon Optics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acon Optics Communications from the perspective of Acon Optics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acon Optics Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 62.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.31. Acon Optics after-hype prediction price | TWD 69.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Acon |
Acon Optics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Acon Optics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acon Optics Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 62.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.01, mean absolute percentage error of 23.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acon Optics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Acon Optics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Acon Optics | Acon Optics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Acon Optics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Acon Optics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acon Optics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.86 and 68.03, respectively. We have considered Acon Optics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acon Optics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acon Optics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 71.6483 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.0092 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0597 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 136.3129 |
Predictive Modules for Acon Optics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acon Optics Communic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Acon Optics
For every potential investor in Acon, whether a beginner or expert, Acon Optics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acon Optics' price trends.Acon Optics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acon Optics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acon Optics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acon Optics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Acon Optics Communic Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Acon Optics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Acon Optics' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Acon Optics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acon Optics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acon Optics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acon Optics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acon Optics Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Acon Optics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Acon Optics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acon Optics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.16 | |||
| Variance | 26.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Acon Optics
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Acon Optics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Acon Optics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Acon Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Acon Optics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Acon Optics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Acon Optics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Acon Optics Communications to buy it.
The correlation of Acon Optics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Acon Optics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Acon Optics Communic moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Acon Optics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Acon Stock Analysis
When running Acon Optics' price analysis, check to measure Acon Optics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acon Optics is operating at the current time. Most of Acon Optics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acon Optics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acon Optics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acon Optics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.