PLAY2CHILL Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

688 Stock   0.63  0.02  3.08%   
PLAY2CHILL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of PLAY2CHILL's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of PLAY2CHILL's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PLAY2CHILL's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PLAY2CHILL and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PLAY2CHILL's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PLAY2CHILL SA ZY, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting PLAY2CHILL's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
8.754
Using PLAY2CHILL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PLAY2CHILL SA ZY from the perspective of PLAY2CHILL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PLAY2CHILL SA ZY on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.13.

PLAY2CHILL after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLAY2CHILL to cross-verify your projections.

PLAY2CHILL Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PLAY2CHILL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PLAY2CHILL using various technical indicators. When you analyze PLAY2CHILL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for PLAY2CHILL works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

PLAY2CHILL Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PLAY2CHILL SA ZY on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PLAY2CHILL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PLAY2CHILL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PLAY2CHILL Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PLAY2CHILL  PLAY2CHILL Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

PLAY2CHILL Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PLAY2CHILL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PLAY2CHILL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.08, respectively. We have considered PLAY2CHILL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.63
0.63
Expected Value
5.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PLAY2CHILL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PLAY2CHILL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 7.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0191
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0271
SAESum of the absolute errors1.1293
When PLAY2CHILL SA ZY prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any PLAY2CHILL SA ZY trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent PLAY2CHILL observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for PLAY2CHILL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PLAY2CHILL SA ZY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.635.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.575.02
Details

PLAY2CHILL After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PLAY2CHILL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PLAY2CHILL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PLAY2CHILL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PLAY2CHILL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PLAY2CHILL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PLAY2CHILL's historical news coverage. PLAY2CHILL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.08, respectively. We have considered PLAY2CHILL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.63
0.63
After-hype Price
5.08
Upside
PLAY2CHILL is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PLAY2CHILL SA ZY is based on 3 months time horizon.

PLAY2CHILL Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PLAY2CHILL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PLAY2CHILL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PLAY2CHILL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
4.45
 0.00  
  31.93 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.63
0.63
0.00 
14,833  
Notes

PLAY2CHILL Hype Timeline

PLAY2CHILL SA ZY is presently traded for 0.63on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 31.93. PLAY2CHILL is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on PLAY2CHILL is about 0.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.56. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of PLAY2CHILL was presently reported as 1.33. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLAY2CHILL to cross-verify your projections.

PLAY2CHILL Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PLAY2CHILL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PLAY2CHILL's future price movements. Getting to know how PLAY2CHILL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PLAY2CHILL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for PLAY2CHILL

For every potential investor in PLAY2CHILL, whether a beginner or expert, PLAY2CHILL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PLAY2CHILL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PLAY2CHILL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PLAY2CHILL's price trends.

PLAY2CHILL Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PLAY2CHILL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PLAY2CHILL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PLAY2CHILL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PLAY2CHILL Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PLAY2CHILL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PLAY2CHILL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PLAY2CHILL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PLAY2CHILL SA ZY entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PLAY2CHILL Risk Indicators

The analysis of PLAY2CHILL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PLAY2CHILL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting play2chill stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for PLAY2CHILL

The number of cover stories for PLAY2CHILL depends on current market conditions and PLAY2CHILL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PLAY2CHILL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PLAY2CHILL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in PLAY2CHILL Stock

PLAY2CHILL financial ratios help investors to determine whether PLAY2CHILL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PLAY2CHILL with respect to the benefits of owning PLAY2CHILL security.