Beijing Kingsoft Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

688111 Stock   314.00  6.28  1.96%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beijing Kingsoft Office on the next trading day is expected to be 321.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 540.99. Beijing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Beijing Kingsoft stock prices and determine the direction of Beijing Kingsoft Office's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beijing Kingsoft's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Beijing Kingsoft's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 3.8 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 146.6 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Beijing Kingsoft works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Beijing Kingsoft Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beijing Kingsoft Office on the next trading day is expected to be 321.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.17, mean absolute percentage error of 140.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 540.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beijing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beijing Kingsoft's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beijing Kingsoft Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beijing Kingsoft stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beijing Kingsoft stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.3381
MADMean absolute deviation9.1694
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0314
SAESum of the absolute errors540.9941
When Beijing Kingsoft Office prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Beijing Kingsoft Office trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Beijing Kingsoft observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Beijing Kingsoft

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Kingsoft Office. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
308.63312.20315.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
288.45292.02345.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
246.02284.31322.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Beijing Kingsoft Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beijing Kingsoft stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beijing Kingsoft could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beijing Kingsoft by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beijing Kingsoft Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beijing Kingsoft stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beijing Kingsoft shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beijing Kingsoft stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beijing Kingsoft Office entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beijing Kingsoft Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beijing Kingsoft's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beijing Kingsoft's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beijing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Kingsoft financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Kingsoft security.