Suzhou Novoprotein Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

688137 Stock   34.62  0.17  0.49%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Suzhou Novoprotein Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 35.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.89. Suzhou Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Suzhou Novoprotein stock prices and determine the direction of Suzhou Novoprotein Scientific's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Suzhou Novoprotein's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Suzhou Novoprotein's Total Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 19.4 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.5 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Suzhou Novoprotein is based on an artificially constructed time series of Suzhou Novoprotein daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Suzhou Novoprotein 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Suzhou Novoprotein Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 35.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 3.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Suzhou Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Suzhou Novoprotein's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Suzhou Novoprotein Stock Forecast Pattern

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Suzhou Novoprotein Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Suzhou Novoprotein's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Suzhou Novoprotein's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.28 and 38.56, respectively. We have considered Suzhou Novoprotein's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.62
35.42
Expected Value
38.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Suzhou Novoprotein stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Suzhou Novoprotein stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.7315
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4576
MADMean absolute deviation1.2621
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0352
SAESum of the absolute errors66.8912
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Suzhou Novoprotein Scientific 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Suzhou Novoprotein

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Suzhou Novoprotein. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4834.6237.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.7928.9338.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.6736.5239.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Suzhou Novoprotein. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Suzhou Novoprotein's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Suzhou Novoprotein's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Suzhou Novoprotein.

Other Forecasting Options for Suzhou Novoprotein

For every potential investor in Suzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Suzhou Novoprotein's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Suzhou Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Suzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Suzhou Novoprotein's price trends.

Suzhou Novoprotein Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Suzhou Novoprotein stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Suzhou Novoprotein could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Suzhou Novoprotein by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Suzhou Novoprotein Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Suzhou Novoprotein's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Suzhou Novoprotein's current price.

Suzhou Novoprotein Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Suzhou Novoprotein stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Suzhou Novoprotein shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Suzhou Novoprotein stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Suzhou Novoprotein Scientific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Suzhou Novoprotein Risk Indicators

The analysis of Suzhou Novoprotein's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Suzhou Novoprotein's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting suzhou stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Suzhou Stock

Suzhou Novoprotein financial ratios help investors to determine whether Suzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Suzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Suzhou Novoprotein security.