GRIPM Advanced Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

688456 Stock   31.41  0.14  0.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GRIPM Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 30.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.72. GRIPM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GRIPM Advanced stock prices and determine the direction of GRIPM Advanced Materials's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GRIPM Advanced's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, GRIPM Advanced's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 97.7 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.2 B.
A naive forecasting model for GRIPM Advanced is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of GRIPM Advanced Materials value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

GRIPM Advanced Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GRIPM Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 30.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GRIPM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GRIPM Advanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GRIPM Advanced Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GRIPM AdvancedGRIPM Advanced Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GRIPM Advanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GRIPM Advanced's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GRIPM Advanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.32 and 34.21, respectively. We have considered GRIPM Advanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.41
30.27
Expected Value
34.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GRIPM Advanced stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GRIPM Advanced stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.101
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1922
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0398
SAESum of the absolute errors72.7225
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of GRIPM Advanced Materials. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict GRIPM Advanced. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for GRIPM Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GRIPM Advanced Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.0932.0335.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.4226.3634.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.0232.0135.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.170.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GRIPM Advanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GRIPM Advanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GRIPM Advanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GRIPM Advanced Materials.

Other Forecasting Options for GRIPM Advanced

For every potential investor in GRIPM, whether a beginner or expert, GRIPM Advanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GRIPM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GRIPM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GRIPM Advanced's price trends.

GRIPM Advanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GRIPM Advanced stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GRIPM Advanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GRIPM Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GRIPM Advanced Materials Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GRIPM Advanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GRIPM Advanced's current price.

GRIPM Advanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GRIPM Advanced stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GRIPM Advanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GRIPM Advanced stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GRIPM Advanced Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GRIPM Advanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of GRIPM Advanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GRIPM Advanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gripm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in GRIPM Stock

GRIPM Advanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether GRIPM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GRIPM with respect to the benefits of owning GRIPM Advanced security.