Shanghai Suochen Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

688507 Stock   65.93  3.55  5.69%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Shanghai Suochen Information on the next trading day is expected to be 63.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 150.85. Shanghai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanghai Suochen stock prices and determine the direction of Shanghai Suochen Information's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai Suochen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Shanghai Suochen is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Shanghai Suochen Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Shanghai Suochen Information on the next trading day is expected to be 63.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.56, mean absolute percentage error of 12.93, and the sum of the absolute errors of 150.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai Suochen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai Suochen Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai Suochen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai Suochen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9944
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0259
MADMean absolute deviation2.5568
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0393
SAESum of the absolute errors150.85
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Shanghai Suochen Information price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Shanghai Suochen. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Suochen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Suochen Inf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.6166.6170.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.5155.5172.52
Details

Shanghai Suochen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai Suochen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai Suochen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai Suochen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai Suochen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai Suochen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai Suochen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai Suochen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai Suochen Information entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai Suochen Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai Suochen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai Suochen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Suochen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Suochen security.