Crown Advanced Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

688560 Stock   14.73  0.22  1.47%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Crown Advanced Material on the next trading day is expected to be 15.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.31. Crown Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Crown Advanced stock prices and determine the direction of Crown Advanced Material's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Crown Advanced's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Crown Advanced's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 489.5 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.6 B.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Crown Advanced Material is based on a synthetically constructed Crown Advanceddaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Crown Advanced 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Crown Advanced Material on the next trading day is expected to be 15.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64, mean absolute percentage error of 3.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crown Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crown Advanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Crown Advanced Stock Forecast Pattern

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Crown Advanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Crown Advanced's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crown Advanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.59 and 20.66, respectively. We have considered Crown Advanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.73
15.62
Expected Value
20.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crown Advanced stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crown Advanced stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.6881
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.2462
MADMean absolute deviation1.6417
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1105
SAESum of the absolute errors67.3095
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Crown Advanced Material 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Crown Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Advanced Material. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1615.2020.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.1312.1717.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crown Advanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crown Advanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crown Advanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crown Advanced Material.

Other Forecasting Options for Crown Advanced

For every potential investor in Crown, whether a beginner or expert, Crown Advanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crown Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crown. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crown Advanced's price trends.

Crown Advanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crown Advanced stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crown Advanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crown Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Crown Advanced Material Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Crown Advanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Crown Advanced's current price.

Crown Advanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crown Advanced stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crown Advanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crown Advanced stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crown Advanced Material entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Crown Advanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of Crown Advanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crown Advanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crown stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Crown Stock

Crown Advanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crown Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crown with respect to the benefits of owning Crown Advanced security.