APT Medical Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

688617 Stock   362.62  10.47  2.97%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APT Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 357.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 665.21. APT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast APT Medical stock prices and determine the direction of APT Medical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of APT Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, APT Medical's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 1.2 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.3 B.
A two period moving average forecast for APT Medical is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

APT Medical Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APT Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 357.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.27, mean absolute percentage error of 305.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 665.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict APT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that APT Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

APT Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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APT Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting APT Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. APT Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 353.36 and 361.41, respectively. We have considered APT Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
362.62
353.36
Downside
357.38
Expected Value
361.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of APT Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent APT Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1561
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.342
MADMean absolute deviation11.2747
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0307
SAESum of the absolute errors665.21
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of APT Medical price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of APT Medical. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for APT Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APT Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
349.34353.38357.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
303.73307.77387.37
Details

Other Forecasting Options for APT Medical

For every potential investor in APT, whether a beginner or expert, APT Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. APT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in APT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying APT Medical's price trends.

APT Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with APT Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of APT Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing APT Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

APT Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of APT Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of APT Medical's current price.

APT Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how APT Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading APT Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying APT Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify APT Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

APT Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of APT Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in APT Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in APT Stock

APT Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether APT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APT with respect to the benefits of owning APT Medical security.