Dupont De Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 6D81 Stock | EUR 43.44 1.03 2.43% |
Dupont Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Dupont De's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of February 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Dupont De's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 82
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) |
Using Dupont De hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dupont De Nemours from the perspective of Dupont De response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dupont De Nemours on the next trading day is expected to be 43.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.63. Dupont De after-hype prediction price | EUR 43.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dupont |
Dupont De Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dupont price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dupont using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dupont charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dupont De Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dupont De Nemours on the next trading day is expected to be 43.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dupont Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dupont De's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dupont De Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dupont De | Dupont De Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Dupont De Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dupont De's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dupont De's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.63 and 45.25, respectively. We have considered Dupont De's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dupont De stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dupont De stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5817 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1618 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4772 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0124 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.63 |
Predictive Modules for Dupont De
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dupont De Nemours. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dupont De After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dupont De at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dupont De or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dupont De, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dupont De Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dupont De's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dupont De's historical news coverage. Dupont De's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.35 and 45.01, respectively. We have considered Dupont De's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dupont De is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dupont De Nemours is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dupont De Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dupont De is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dupont De backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dupont De, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 1.81 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.44 | 43.18 | 0.60 |
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Dupont De Hype Timeline
Dupont De Nemours is presently traded for 43.44on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.34. Dupont is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 43.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Dupont De is about 226.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.10. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Dupont De Nemours has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.78. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2026. The firm had 1:3 split on the 3rd of June 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dupont De to cross-verify your projections.Dupont De Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dupont De's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dupont De's future price movements. Getting to know how Dupont De's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dupont De may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RHO | ROCHE HLDG | (2.20) | 4 per month | 1.36 | 0.11 | 2.24 | (2.20) | 8.07 | |
| ABL | Abbott Laboratories | 3.76 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.95 | (2.11) | 14.56 | |
| DAP | DANAHER | (3.40) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.32 | (2.98) | 8.54 | |
| QCI | QUALCOMM | (5.46) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.90 | (2.57) | 12.93 | |
| 6MK | Merck Co | 0.10 | 6 per month | 1.28 | 0.16 | 3.38 | (2.23) | 8.41 | |
| NOT | NOVARTIS N | (1.35) | 1 per month | 0.35 | 0.23 | 2.70 | (1.40) | 5.41 | |
| NOT | NOVARTIS N | 1.18 | 1 per month | 0.21 | 0.26 | 2.10 | (1.18) | 4.95 | |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | (1.80) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.33 | (5.57) | 24.55 | |
| 4I1 | Philip Morris International | 1.16 | 4 per month | 1.16 | 0.13 | 2.65 | (2.55) | 7.67 | |
| W8V | BANK OF CHINA | 0.01 | 4 per month | 2.72 | (0) | 2.08 | (2.04) | 24.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dupont De
For every potential investor in Dupont, whether a beginner or expert, Dupont De's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dupont Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dupont. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dupont De's price trends.Dupont De Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dupont De stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dupont De could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dupont De by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dupont De Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dupont De stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dupont De shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dupont De stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dupont De Nemours entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dupont De Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dupont De's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dupont De's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dupont stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9395 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Variance | 3.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8827 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dupont De
The number of cover stories for Dupont De depends on current market conditions and Dupont De's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dupont De is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dupont De's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dupont De to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.