PKSHA TECHNOLOGY Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

762 Stock  EUR 21.20  2.40  10.17%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC on the next trading day is expected to be 22.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.05. PKSHA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through PKSHA TECHNOLOGY price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

PKSHA TECHNOLOGY Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC on the next trading day is expected to be 22.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PKSHA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PKSHA TECHNOLOGY Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PKSHA TECHNOLOGYPKSHA TECHNOLOGY Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

PKSHA TECHNOLOGY Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.88 and 26.19, respectively. We have considered PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.20
22.53
Expected Value
26.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PKSHA TECHNOLOGY stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PKSHA TECHNOLOGY stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5394
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6402
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0308
SAESum of the absolute errors39.0547
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for PKSHA TECHNOLOGY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5521.2024.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1017.7521.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PKSHA TECHNOLOGY

For every potential investor in PKSHA, whether a beginner or expert, PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PKSHA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PKSHA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's price trends.

PKSHA TECHNOLOGY Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PKSHA TECHNOLOGY stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PKSHA TECHNOLOGY could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PKSHA TECHNOLOGY by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's current price.

PKSHA TECHNOLOGY Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PKSHA TECHNOLOGY stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PKSHA TECHNOLOGY shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PKSHA TECHNOLOGY stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PKSHA TECHNOLOGY Risk Indicators

The analysis of PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PKSHA TECHNOLOGY's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pksha stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in PKSHA Stock

PKSHA TECHNOLOGY financial ratios help investors to determine whether PKSHA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PKSHA with respect to the benefits of owning PKSHA TECHNOLOGY security.