BROOKFBH 462 Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

7D8 Stock  EUR 15.57  0.05  0.32%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU on the next trading day is expected to be 15.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.25. BROOKFBH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BROOKFBH 462's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

BROOKFBH 462 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU on the next trading day is expected to be 15.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BROOKFBH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BROOKFBH 462's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BROOKFBH 462 Stock Forecast Pattern

BROOKFBH 462 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BROOKFBH 462's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BROOKFBH 462's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.34 and 18.46, respectively. We have considered BROOKFBH 462's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.57
15.40
Expected Value
18.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BROOKFBH 462 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BROOKFBH 462 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.2658
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0665
MADMean absolute deviation0.3553
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.024
SAESum of the absolute errors20.25
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of BROOKFBH 462. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for BROOKFBH 462

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5115.5718.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0214.0817.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.2915.3016.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BROOKFBH 462

For every potential investor in BROOKFBH, whether a beginner or expert, BROOKFBH 462's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BROOKFBH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BROOKFBH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BROOKFBH 462's price trends.

BROOKFBH 462 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BROOKFBH 462 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BROOKFBH 462 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BROOKFBH 462 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BROOKFBH 462's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BROOKFBH 462's current price.

BROOKFBH 462 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BROOKFBH 462 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BROOKFBH 462 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BROOKFBH 462 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BROOKFBH 462 Risk Indicators

The analysis of BROOKFBH 462's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BROOKFBH 462's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brookfbh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in BROOKFBH Stock

BROOKFBH 462 financial ratios help investors to determine whether BROOKFBH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BROOKFBH with respect to the benefits of owning BROOKFBH 462 security.