VITEC SOFTWARE Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 7VS Stock | EUR 24.72 0.18 0.73% |
VITEC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of VITEC SOFTWARE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of VITEC SOFTWARE's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.399 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
Using VITEC SOFTWARE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP from the perspective of VITEC SOFTWARE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 24.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.03. VITEC SOFTWARE after-hype prediction price | EUR 24.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
VITEC |
VITEC SOFTWARE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VITEC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VITEC using various technical indicators. When you analyze VITEC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VITEC SOFTWARE Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 24.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VITEC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VITEC SOFTWARE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VITEC SOFTWARE Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VITEC SOFTWARE | VITEC SOFTWARE Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
VITEC SOFTWARE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VITEC SOFTWARE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VITEC SOFTWARE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.16 and 27.28, respectively. We have considered VITEC SOFTWARE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VITEC SOFTWARE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VITEC SOFTWARE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2907 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0772 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3672 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.03 |
Predictive Modules for VITEC SOFTWARE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VITEC SOFTWARE After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VITEC SOFTWARE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VITEC SOFTWARE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VITEC SOFTWARE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VITEC SOFTWARE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VITEC SOFTWARE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VITEC SOFTWARE's historical news coverage. VITEC SOFTWARE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.93 and 27.05, respectively. We have considered VITEC SOFTWARE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VITEC SOFTWARE is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP is based on 3 months time horizon.
VITEC SOFTWARE Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VITEC SOFTWARE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VITEC SOFTWARE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VITEC SOFTWARE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.56 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.72 | 24.49 | 0.93 |
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VITEC SOFTWARE Hype Timeline
VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP is presently traded for 24.72on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. VITEC is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.93%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on VITEC SOFTWARE is about 988.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.78. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The book value of VITEC SOFTWARE was presently reported as 121.44. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VITEC SOFTWARE to cross-verify your projections.VITEC SOFTWARE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VITEC SOFTWARE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VITEC SOFTWARE's future price movements. Getting to know how VITEC SOFTWARE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VITEC SOFTWARE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSGL | msg life ag | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.57 | 0 | 1.65 | (1.11) | 5.41 | |
| JY0 | ParTec AG | (1.55) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.67 | (7.64) | 33.83 | |
| CTNK | centrotherm international AG | 1.30 | 3 per month | 1.71 | 0.21 | 7.55 | (4.35) | 42.11 | |
| 94P | AUREA SA INH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | (0.04) | 3.44 | (3.93) | 11.80 | |
| DVDG | Franklin Global Quality | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.35 | 0.08 | 1.00 | (0.65) | 3.06 | |
| BTC1 | Bitwise Core Bitcoin | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.90 | (5.63) | 14.40 | |
| RS6 | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 2.90 | 6 per month | 0.81 | 0.14 | 3.18 | (1.57) | 5.55 | |
| 9K1 | NORDIC HALIBUT AS | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.65 | 0.01 | 3.05 | (2.79) | 12.62 | |
| 9TO | Toyota Tsusho Corp | (0.80) | 3 per month | 1.90 | 0.14 | 5.26 | (2.82) | 13.02 | |
| SVKB | SANDVIK | 0.95 | 3 per month | 0.89 | 0.30 | 3.05 | (1.96) | 6.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for VITEC SOFTWARE
For every potential investor in VITEC, whether a beginner or expert, VITEC SOFTWARE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VITEC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VITEC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VITEC SOFTWARE's price trends.VITEC SOFTWARE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VITEC SOFTWARE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VITEC SOFTWARE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VITEC SOFTWARE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VITEC SOFTWARE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VITEC SOFTWARE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VITEC SOFTWARE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VITEC SOFTWARE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VITEC SOFTWARE Risk Indicators
The analysis of VITEC SOFTWARE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VITEC SOFTWARE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vitec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Variance | 6.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VITEC SOFTWARE
The number of cover stories for VITEC SOFTWARE depends on current market conditions and VITEC SOFTWARE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VITEC SOFTWARE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VITEC SOFTWARE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in VITEC Stock
VITEC SOFTWARE financial ratios help investors to determine whether VITEC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VITEC with respect to the benefits of owning VITEC SOFTWARE security.