CARETRUST REIT Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

7XC Stock  EUR 34.40  0.20  0.58%   
CARETRUST Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CARETRUST REIT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of CARETRUST REIT's stock price is roughly 66. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CARETRUST, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 66

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CARETRUST REIT's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CARETRUST REIT and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CARETRUST REIT's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CARETRUST REIT DL 01, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CARETRUST REIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CARETRUST REIT DL 01 from the perspective of CARETRUST REIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CARETRUST REIT DL 01 on the next trading day is expected to be 34.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.74.

CARETRUST REIT after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 34.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CARETRUST REIT to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in CARETRUST Stock please use our How to Invest in CARETRUST REIT guide.

CARETRUST REIT Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CARETRUST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CARETRUST using various technical indicators. When you analyze CARETRUST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for CARETRUST REIT is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CARETRUST REIT Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CARETRUST REIT DL 01 on the next trading day is expected to be 34.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CARETRUST Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CARETRUST REIT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CARETRUST REIT Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CARETRUST REIT  CARETRUST REIT Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

CARETRUST REIT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CARETRUST REIT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CARETRUST REIT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.87 and 35.93, respectively. We have considered CARETRUST REIT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.40
34.40
Expected Value
35.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CARETRUST REIT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CARETRUST REIT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.148
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0686
MADMean absolute deviation0.3685
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0116
SAESum of the absolute errors21.74
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CARETRUST REIT DL 01 price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CARETRUST REIT. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CARETRUST REIT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CARETRUST REIT DL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.9334.4635.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.4035.9337.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
5.4833.8035.21
Details

CARETRUST REIT After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CARETRUST REIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CARETRUST REIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CARETRUST REIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CARETRUST REIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CARETRUST REIT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CARETRUST REIT's historical news coverage. CARETRUST REIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.93 and 35.99, respectively. We have considered CARETRUST REIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
34.40
34.46
After-hype Price
35.99
Upside
CARETRUST REIT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CARETRUST REIT DL is based on 3 months time horizon.

CARETRUST REIT Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CARETRUST REIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CARETRUST REIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CARETRUST REIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.53
 0.00  
  0.09 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.40
34.46
0.17 
0.00  
Notes

CARETRUST REIT Hype Timeline

CARETRUST REIT DL is presently traded for 34.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.09. CARETRUST is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 34.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on CARETRUST REIT is about 244.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.49. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CARETRUST REIT to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in CARETRUST Stock please use our How to Invest in CARETRUST REIT guide.

CARETRUST REIT Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CARETRUST REIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CARETRUST REIT's future price movements. Getting to know how CARETRUST REIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CARETRUST REIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for CARETRUST REIT

For every potential investor in CARETRUST, whether a beginner or expert, CARETRUST REIT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CARETRUST Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CARETRUST. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CARETRUST REIT's price trends.

CARETRUST REIT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CARETRUST REIT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CARETRUST REIT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CARETRUST REIT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CARETRUST REIT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CARETRUST REIT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CARETRUST REIT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CARETRUST REIT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CARETRUST REIT DL 01 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CARETRUST REIT Risk Indicators

The analysis of CARETRUST REIT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CARETRUST REIT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caretrust stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CARETRUST REIT

The number of cover stories for CARETRUST REIT depends on current market conditions and CARETRUST REIT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CARETRUST REIT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CARETRUST REIT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in CARETRUST Stock

CARETRUST REIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether CARETRUST Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CARETRUST with respect to the benefits of owning CARETRUST REIT security.