Supreme Electronics Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

8112 Stock  TWD 74.70  1.10  1.45%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Supreme Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 74.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.60. Supreme Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Supreme Electronics' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Supreme Electronics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Supreme Electronics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Supreme Electronics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Supreme Electronics Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Supreme Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Supreme Electronics Co from the perspective of Supreme Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Supreme Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 74.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.60.

Supreme Electronics after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 74.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Supreme Electronics to cross-verify your projections.

Supreme Electronics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Supreme price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Supreme using various technical indicators. When you analyze Supreme charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Supreme Electronics is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Supreme Electronics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Supreme Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 74.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16, mean absolute percentage error of 7.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Supreme Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Supreme Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Supreme Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Supreme ElectronicsSupreme Electronics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Supreme Electronics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Supreme Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Supreme Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.95 and 78.45, respectively. We have considered Supreme Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
74.70
74.70
Expected Value
78.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Supreme Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Supreme Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.51
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7339
MADMean absolute deviation2.1627
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0318
SAESum of the absolute errors127.6
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Supreme Electronics Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Supreme Electronics. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Supreme Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Supreme Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.9874.7078.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.2373.9577.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
67.2372.3377.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Supreme Electronics

For every potential investor in Supreme, whether a beginner or expert, Supreme Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Supreme Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Supreme. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Supreme Electronics' price trends.

Supreme Electronics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Supreme Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Supreme Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Supreme Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Supreme Electronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Supreme Electronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Supreme Electronics' current price.

Supreme Electronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Supreme Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Supreme Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Supreme Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Supreme Electronics Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Supreme Electronics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Supreme Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Supreme Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting supreme stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Supreme Stock Analysis

When running Supreme Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Supreme Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Supreme Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Supreme Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Supreme Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Supreme Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Supreme Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.