Taitien Electronics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

8289 Stock  TWD 20.55  0.35  1.67%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Taitien Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.66. Taitien Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Taitien Electronics' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Taitien Electronics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Taitien Electronics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Taitien Electronics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Taitien Electronics Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Taitien Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Taitien Electronics Co from the perspective of Taitien Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Taitien Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.66.

Taitien Electronics after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 20.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taitien Electronics to cross-verify your projections.

Taitien Electronics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Taitien price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Taitien using various technical indicators. When you analyze Taitien charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Taitien Electronics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Taitien Electronics Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Taitien Electronics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Taitien Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Taitien Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Taitien Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Taitien Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Taitien ElectronicsTaitien Electronics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Taitien Electronics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Taitien Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Taitien Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.56 and 21.59, respectively. We have considered Taitien Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.55
20.08
Expected Value
21.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Taitien Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Taitien Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6974
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2404
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0115
SAESum of the absolute errors14.662
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Taitien Electronics Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Taitien Electronics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Taitien Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taitien Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0320.5522.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.1420.6622.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.5320.2620.98
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Taitien Electronics

For every potential investor in Taitien, whether a beginner or expert, Taitien Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taitien Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taitien. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taitien Electronics' price trends.

Taitien Electronics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taitien Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taitien Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taitien Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Taitien Electronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Taitien Electronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Taitien Electronics' current price.

Taitien Electronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taitien Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taitien Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taitien Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taitien Electronics Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Taitien Electronics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Taitien Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taitien Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taitien stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Taitien Stock Analysis

When running Taitien Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Taitien Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Taitien Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Taitien Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Taitien Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Taitien Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Taitien Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.