ELTA Technology Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| 8487 Stock | 80.50 0.20 0.25% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ELTA Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ELTA Technology CoLtd from the perspective of ELTA Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ELTA Technology CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 80.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.78. ELTA Technology after-hype prediction price | TWD 80.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ELTA |
ELTA Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ELTA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ELTA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ELTA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ELTA Technology Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ELTA Technology CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 80.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ELTA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ELTA Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ELTA Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
ELTA Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ELTA Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ELTA Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.20 and 81.76, respectively. We have considered ELTA Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ELTA Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ELTA Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0991 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.7766 |
Predictive Modules for ELTA Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ELTA Technology CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ELTA Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of ELTA Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ELTA Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ELTA Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ELTA Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ELTA Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ELTA Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ELTA Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
80.50 | 80.50 | 0.00 |
|
ELTA Technology Hype Timeline
ELTA Technology CoLtd is presently traded for 80.50on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ELTA is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on ELTA Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.50. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.ELTA Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ELTA Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ELTA Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how ELTA Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ELTA Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6856 | SHINE TREND International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | (0.01) | 3.01 | (4.33) | 14.23 | |
| 6595 | Juliens International Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.57 | (0.74) | 6.12 | |
| 4806 | Kuei Tien Cultural | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.98 | (5.33) | 15.47 | |
| 8450 | Pili International Multimedia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.18 | (2.02) | 4.33 | |
| 6136 | Fullerton Technology Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.48 | (0.05) | 0.85 | (1.03) | 2.47 | |
| 6144 | Deltamac Taiwan Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | (0.01) | 4.09 | (2.88) | 13.54 | |
| 6625 | BIN Live Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.02 | 2.32 | (1.91) | 9.45 | |
| 8329 | Taiwan Television Enterprise | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.01 | (1.90) | 8.93 | |
| 6622 | Bossdom Digiinnovation Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.59 | 0.0008 | 4.65 | (4.58) | 16.21 | |
| 8458 | 1 Production Film | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.86 | (4.98) | 11.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for ELTA Technology
For every potential investor in ELTA, whether a beginner or expert, ELTA Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ELTA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ELTA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ELTA Technology's price trends.ELTA Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ELTA Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ELTA Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ELTA Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ELTA Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ELTA Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ELTA Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ELTA Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ELTA Technology CoLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ELTA Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of ELTA Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ELTA Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting elta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5674 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5601 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7624 | |||
| Variance | 0.5812 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.571 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3137 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.74) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ELTA Technology
The number of cover stories for ELTA Technology depends on current market conditions and ELTA Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ELTA Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ELTA Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Additional Tools for ELTA Stock Analysis
When running ELTA Technology's price analysis, check to measure ELTA Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ELTA Technology is operating at the current time. Most of ELTA Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ELTA Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ELTA Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ELTA Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.