Eagle Cold Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

8905 Stock  TWD 29.10  0.10  0.34%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eagle Cold Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 29.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.40. Eagle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Eagle Cold is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Eagle Cold Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eagle Cold Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 29.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eagle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eagle Cold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eagle Cold Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eagle ColdEagle Cold Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Eagle Cold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eagle Cold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eagle Cold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.13 and 30.17, respectively. We have considered Eagle Cold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.10
29.15
Expected Value
30.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eagle Cold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eagle Cold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.0649
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0534
MADMean absolute deviation0.2102
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.007
SAESum of the absolute errors12.4
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Eagle Cold Storage price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Eagle Cold. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Eagle Cold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Cold Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.1729.2030.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9624.9932.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eagle Cold

For every potential investor in Eagle, whether a beginner or expert, Eagle Cold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eagle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eagle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eagle Cold's price trends.

Eagle Cold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eagle Cold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eagle Cold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eagle Cold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eagle Cold Storage Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eagle Cold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eagle Cold's current price.

Eagle Cold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eagle Cold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eagle Cold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eagle Cold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eagle Cold Storage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eagle Cold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eagle Cold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eagle Cold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eagle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Eagle Cold

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Eagle Cold position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Eagle Cold will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Eagle Stock

  0.771229 Lien Hwa IndustrialPairCorr

Moving against Eagle Stock

  0.631231 Lian Hwa FoodsPairCorr
  0.351235 Shin Tai Industry SplitPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Eagle Cold could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Eagle Cold when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Eagle Cold - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Eagle Cold Storage to buy it.
The correlation of Eagle Cold is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Eagle Cold moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Eagle Cold Storage moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Eagle Cold can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Eagle Stock Analysis

When running Eagle Cold's price analysis, check to measure Eagle Cold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Cold is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Cold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Cold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Cold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Cold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.