BJs Wholesale Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 8BJ Stock | EUR 83.50 3.00 3.47% |
BJs Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of BJs Wholesale's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of BJs Wholesale's share price is approaching 33. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BJs Wholesale, making its price go up or down. Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Wall Street Target Price 58.28 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 |
Using BJs Wholesale hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BJs Wholesale Club from the perspective of BJs Wholesale response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BJs Wholesale Club on the next trading day is expected to be 83.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.50. BJs Wholesale after-hype prediction price | EUR 83.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BJs |
BJs Wholesale Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BJs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BJs using various technical indicators. When you analyze BJs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BJs Wholesale Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BJs Wholesale Club on the next trading day is expected to be 83.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23, mean absolute percentage error of 2.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BJs Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BJs Wholesale's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BJs Wholesale Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BJs Wholesale | BJs Wholesale Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
BJs Wholesale Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BJs Wholesale's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BJs Wholesale's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 81.58 and 85.42, respectively. We have considered BJs Wholesale's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BJs Wholesale stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BJs Wholesale stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1037 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.075 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.225 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 73.5 |
Predictive Modules for BJs Wholesale
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BJs Wholesale Club. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BJs Wholesale After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BJs Wholesale at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BJs Wholesale or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BJs Wholesale, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BJs Wholesale Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BJs Wholesale's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BJs Wholesale's historical news coverage. BJs Wholesale's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.63 and 85.47, respectively. We have considered BJs Wholesale's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BJs Wholesale is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BJs Wholesale Club is based on 3 months time horizon.
BJs Wholesale Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BJs Wholesale is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BJs Wholesale backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BJs Wholesale, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.92 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
83.50 | 83.55 | 0.06 |
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BJs Wholesale Hype Timeline
BJs Wholesale Club is presently traded for 83.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. BJs is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 83.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on BJs Wholesale is about 337.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.56. The company reported the revenue of 20.5 B. Net Income was 534.42 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.94 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Wholesale to cross-verify your projections.BJs Wholesale Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BJs Wholesale's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BJs Wholesale's future price movements. Getting to know how BJs Wholesale's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BJs Wholesale may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTE | Micron Technology | 3.10 | 11 per month | 3.21 | 0.19 | 7.42 | (4.30) | 20.28 | |
| PYA | Wayside Technology Group | 1.00 | 1 per month | 2.58 | 0.05 | 4.62 | (4.55) | 14.81 | |
| AO9 | BACKBONE Technology AG | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| B2X | Brandywine Realty Trust | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.37 | (3.70) | 12.26 | |
| MWJ | NAKED WINES PLC | 0.03 | 4 per month | 2.16 | 0.02 | 3.85 | (4.88) | 12.56 | |
| SXC | Sunny Optical Technology | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.13 | (3.97) | 9.94 | |
| D2V | PARKEN Sport Entertainment | (0.15) | 3 per month | 1.82 | 0.17 | 4.82 | (3.03) | 11.86 | |
| S92 | SMA Solar Technology | 0.52 | 2 per month | 3.27 | 0.05 | 8.51 | (6.00) | 16.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for BJs Wholesale
For every potential investor in BJs, whether a beginner or expert, BJs Wholesale's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BJs Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BJs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BJs Wholesale's price trends.BJs Wholesale Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BJs Wholesale stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BJs Wholesale could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BJs Wholesale by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BJs Wholesale Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BJs Wholesale stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BJs Wholesale shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BJs Wholesale stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BJs Wholesale Club entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BJs Wholesale Risk Indicators
The analysis of BJs Wholesale's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BJs Wholesale's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bjs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BJs Wholesale
The number of cover stories for BJs Wholesale depends on current market conditions and BJs Wholesale's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BJs Wholesale is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BJs Wholesale's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Wholesale to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.