Crown Castle Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 8CW Stock | EUR 72.74 0.29 0.40% |
Crown Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Crown Castle's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Crown Castle's share price is approaching 41. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Crown Castle, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Crown Castle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crown Castle International from the perspective of Crown Castle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crown Castle International on the next trading day is expected to be 72.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.38. Crown Castle after-hype prediction price | EUR 72.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Crown |
Crown Castle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crown Castle Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crown Castle International on the next trading day is expected to be 72.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.99, mean absolute percentage error of 1.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crown Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crown Castle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crown Castle Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crown Castle | Crown Castle Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Crown Castle Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crown Castle's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crown Castle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.18 and 74.30, respectively. We have considered Crown Castle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crown Castle stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crown Castle stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5804 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1685 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9898 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 60.38 |
Predictive Modules for Crown Castle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Castle Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crown Castle After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crown Castle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crown Castle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crown Castle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crown Castle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crown Castle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crown Castle's historical news coverage. Crown Castle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.18 and 74.30, respectively. We have considered Crown Castle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crown Castle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crown Castle Interna is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crown Castle Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crown Castle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crown Castle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crown Castle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.74 | 72.74 | 0.00 |
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Crown Castle Hype Timeline
Crown Castle Interna is presently traded for 72.74on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Crown is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Crown Castle is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.74. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crown Castle to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Crown Stock please use our How to Invest in Crown Castle guide.Crown Castle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crown Castle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crown Castle's future price movements. Getting to know how Crown Castle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crown Castle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAC1 | Casio Computer CoLtd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.03) | 2.04 | (2.39) | 5.98 | |
| OSP2 | USU SOFTWARE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.95 | (3.64) | 8.88 | |
| VHY | Vishay Intertechnology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.70 | 0.03 | 6.44 | (4.65) | 13.06 | |
| OS3 | OPERA SOFTWARE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.18 | 3.45 | (2.68) | 9.82 | |
| 2XT | DXC Technology Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.06 | 4.62 | (3.60) | 12.40 | |
| 81M | COGNYTE SOFTWARE LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.58 | 0.04 | 4.03 | (4.49) | 16.02 | |
| AVT | AviChina Industry Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.01 | 4.44 | (4.35) | 13.88 | |
| MGK | MAGIC SOFTWARE ENTR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.14 | 5.86 | (3.00) | 14.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Crown Castle
For every potential investor in Crown, whether a beginner or expert, Crown Castle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crown Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crown. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crown Castle's price trends.Crown Castle Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crown Castle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crown Castle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crown Castle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crown Castle Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crown Castle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crown Castle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crown Castle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crown Castle International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 72.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 72.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.96 |
Crown Castle Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crown Castle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crown Castle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crown stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Crown Castle
The number of cover stories for Crown Castle depends on current market conditions and Crown Castle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crown Castle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crown Castle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Crown Stock
Crown Castle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crown Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crown with respect to the benefits of owning Crown Castle security.