Interpump Group Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

8IG Stock  EUR 45.66  0.12  0.26%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interpump Group SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 45.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.23. Interpump Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Interpump Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Interpump Group simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Interpump Group SpA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Interpump Group SpA prices get older.

Interpump Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interpump Group SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 45.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Interpump Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Interpump Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Interpump Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Interpump GroupInterpump Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Interpump Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Interpump Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Interpump Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.82 and 47.55, respectively. We have considered Interpump Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.66
45.69
Expected Value
47.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Interpump Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Interpump Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5941
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1756
MADMean absolute deviation0.6267
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors38.2279
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Interpump Group SpA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Interpump Group observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Interpump Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interpump Group SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.2547.1048.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.3949.2851.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.6542.0546.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Interpump Group

For every potential investor in Interpump, whether a beginner or expert, Interpump Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Interpump Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Interpump. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Interpump Group's price trends.

Interpump Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Interpump Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Interpump Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Interpump Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Interpump Group SpA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Interpump Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Interpump Group's current price.

Interpump Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Interpump Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Interpump Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Interpump Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Interpump Group SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Interpump Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Interpump Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Interpump Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interpump stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Interpump Stock

Interpump Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Interpump Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Interpump with respect to the benefits of owning Interpump Group security.