Liberty Broadband Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 8L8C Stock | EUR 83.00 0.50 0.61% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Broadband on the next trading day is expected to be 73.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.30. Liberty Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Liberty Broadband's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Liberty |
Liberty Broadband Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Broadband on the next trading day is expected to be 73.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19, mean absolute percentage error of 8.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liberty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liberty Broadband's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Liberty Broadband Stock Forecast Pattern
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Liberty Broadband Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Liberty Broadband's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liberty Broadband's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.08 and 76.62, respectively. We have considered Liberty Broadband's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liberty Broadband stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liberty Broadband stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.2441 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1852 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0307 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 133.2951 |
Predictive Modules for Liberty Broadband
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Broadband. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Broadband's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Liberty Broadband
For every potential investor in Liberty, whether a beginner or expert, Liberty Broadband's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liberty Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liberty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liberty Broadband's price trends.Liberty Broadband Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liberty Broadband stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liberty Broadband could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liberty Broadband by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Liberty Broadband Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liberty Broadband's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liberty Broadband's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Liberty Broadband Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liberty Broadband stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liberty Broadband shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liberty Broadband stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liberty Broadband entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 83.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 83.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.25 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.57 |
Liberty Broadband Risk Indicators
The analysis of Liberty Broadband's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liberty Broadband's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liberty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Variance | 10.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Liberty Stock
Liberty Broadband financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liberty Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liberty with respect to the benefits of owning Liberty Broadband security.