Meituan Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 9MD Stock | EUR 8.98 0.03 0.34% |
Meituan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Meituan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the value of rsi of Meituan's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 |
Using Meituan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Meituan from the perspective of Meituan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meituan on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.91. Meituan after-hype prediction price | EUR 8.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Meituan |
Meituan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Meituan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Meituan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Meituan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Meituan Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meituan on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meituan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meituan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Meituan Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Meituan | Meituan Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Meituan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Meituan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Meituan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.70 and 11.26, respectively. We have considered Meituan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meituan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meituan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4594 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0335 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1818 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.017 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.91 |
Predictive Modules for Meituan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meituan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meituan After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Meituan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Meituan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Meituan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Meituan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Meituan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Meituan's historical news coverage. Meituan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.63 and 11.19, respectively. We have considered Meituan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Meituan is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Meituan is based on 3 months time horizon.
Meituan Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Meituan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Meituan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Meituan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.28 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.98 | 8.91 | 0.78 |
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Meituan Hype Timeline
Meituan is presently traded for 8.98on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Meituan is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.78%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Meituan is about 69512.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.98. About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The book value of Meituan was presently reported as 3.48. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 303.65. Meituan had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meituan to cross-verify your projections.Meituan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Meituan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Meituan's future price movements. Getting to know how Meituan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Meituan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GQ8 | Audio Pixels Holdings | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DC3A | DIAMCOR MINING INC | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| M83 | Middle Island Resources | 0 | 4 per month | 7.76 | 0.14 | 20.00 | (12.50) | 42.13 | |
| 7JL | BALKAN MINING A | (0.0005) | 2 per month | 7.15 | 0.02 | 12.64 | (11.11) | 68.85 | |
| BDD | CONICO LTD | 0.02 | 6 per month | 28.47 | 0.20 | 245.45 | (76.09) | 1,073 |
Other Forecasting Options for Meituan
For every potential investor in Meituan, whether a beginner or expert, Meituan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Meituan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Meituan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Meituan's price trends.Meituan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meituan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meituan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meituan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Meituan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meituan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meituan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meituan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Meituan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Meituan Risk Indicators
The analysis of Meituan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meituan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meituan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Meituan
The number of cover stories for Meituan depends on current market conditions and Meituan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Meituan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Meituan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Meituan Stock
Meituan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meituan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meituan with respect to the benefits of owning Meituan security.