NIPPON PROLOGIS Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

9NPA Stock  EUR 486.00  0.00  0.00%   
NIPPON Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NIPPON PROLOGIS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the value of rsi of NIPPON PROLOGIS's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NIPPON PROLOGIS's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NIPPON PROLOGIS and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NIPPON PROLOGIS's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using NIPPON PROLOGIS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT from the perspective of NIPPON PROLOGIS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 486.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.73.

NIPPON PROLOGIS after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 485.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NIPPON PROLOGIS to cross-verify your projections.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NIPPON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NIPPON using various technical indicators. When you analyze NIPPON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for NIPPON PROLOGIS is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 486.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.81, mean absolute percentage error of 41.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NIPPON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NIPPON PROLOGIS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NIPPON PROLOGIS Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NIPPON PROLOGIS  NIPPON PROLOGIS Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

NIPPON PROLOGIS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NIPPON PROLOGIS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NIPPON PROLOGIS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 484.86 and 487.14, respectively. We have considered NIPPON PROLOGIS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
486.00
484.86
Downside
486.00
Expected Value
487.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NIPPON PROLOGIS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NIPPON PROLOGIS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1545
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3096
MADMean absolute deviation2.8091
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0058
SAESum of the absolute errors165.735
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of NIPPON PROLOGIS. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for NIPPON PROLOGIS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
484.78485.92487.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
434.94436.08534.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NIPPON PROLOGIS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NIPPON PROLOGIS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NIPPON PROLOGIS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT.

NIPPON PROLOGIS After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NIPPON PROLOGIS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NIPPON PROLOGIS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NIPPON PROLOGIS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NIPPON PROLOGIS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NIPPON PROLOGIS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NIPPON PROLOGIS's historical news coverage. NIPPON PROLOGIS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 484.78 and 487.06, respectively. We have considered NIPPON PROLOGIS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
486.00
484.78
Downside
485.92
After-hype Price
487.06
Upside
NIPPON PROLOGIS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NIPPON PROLOGIS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NIPPON PROLOGIS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NIPPON PROLOGIS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.14
  0.08 
  0.01 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
486.00
485.92
0.02 
57.00  
Notes

NIPPON PROLOGIS Hype Timeline

NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT is presently traded for 486.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. NIPPON is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 485.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 57.0%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on NIPPON PROLOGIS is about 588.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 486.01. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.51. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2019. The entity had 3:1 split on the 29th of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NIPPON PROLOGIS to cross-verify your projections.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NIPPON PROLOGIS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NIPPON PROLOGIS's future price movements. Getting to know how NIPPON PROLOGIS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NIPPON PROLOGIS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for NIPPON PROLOGIS

For every potential investor in NIPPON, whether a beginner or expert, NIPPON PROLOGIS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NIPPON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NIPPON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NIPPON PROLOGIS's price trends.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NIPPON PROLOGIS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NIPPON PROLOGIS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NIPPON PROLOGIS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NIPPON PROLOGIS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NIPPON PROLOGIS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NIPPON PROLOGIS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NIPPON PROLOGIS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Risk Indicators

The analysis of NIPPON PROLOGIS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NIPPON PROLOGIS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nippon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for NIPPON PROLOGIS

The number of cover stories for NIPPON PROLOGIS depends on current market conditions and NIPPON PROLOGIS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NIPPON PROLOGIS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NIPPON PROLOGIS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in NIPPON Stock

NIPPON PROLOGIS financial ratios help investors to determine whether NIPPON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NIPPON with respect to the benefits of owning NIPPON PROLOGIS security.