SMTPC EO Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| 9P4 Stock | EUR 27.90 0.10 0.36% |
SMTPC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of SMTPC EO's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 20th of February 2026, The relative strength indicator of SMTPC EO's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SMTPC EO, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.152 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 |
Using SMTPC EO hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SMTPC EO 305 from the perspective of SMTPC EO response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SMTPC EO 305 on the next trading day is expected to be 27.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.46. SMTPC EO after-hype prediction price | EUR 27.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SMTPC |
SMTPC EO Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SMTPC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SMTPC using various technical indicators. When you analyze SMTPC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SMTPC EO Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SMTPC EO 305 on the next trading day is expected to be 27.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SMTPC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SMTPC EO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SMTPC EO Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SMTPC EO | SMTPC EO Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SMTPC EO Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SMTPC EO's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SMTPC EO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.80 and 29.16, respectively. We have considered SMTPC EO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SMTPC EO stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SMTPC EO stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0898 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1686 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0061 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.4558 |
Predictive Modules for SMTPC EO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SMTPC EO 305. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SMTPC EO After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SMTPC EO at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SMTPC EO or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SMTPC EO, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SMTPC EO Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SMTPC EO's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SMTPC EO's historical news coverage. SMTPC EO's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.72 and 29.08, respectively. We have considered SMTPC EO's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SMTPC EO is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SMTPC EO 305 is based on 3 months time horizon.
SMTPC EO Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SMTPC EO is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SMTPC EO backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SMTPC EO, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.18 | 0.00 | 28.96 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.90 | 27.90 | 0.00 |
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SMTPC EO Hype Timeline
SMTPC EO 305 is presently traded for 27.90on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -28.96. SMTPC is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on SMTPC EO is about 0.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -1.06. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of SMTPC EO was presently reported as 11.23. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of June 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SMTPC EO to cross-verify your projections.SMTPC EO Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SMTPC EO's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SMTPC EO's future price movements. Getting to know how SMTPC EO's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SMTPC EO may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRYN | Berkshire Hathaway | 0.50 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.66 | (1.64) | 5.17 | |
| BRH | Berkshire Hathaway | 1,500 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.72 | (1.43) | 7.12 | |
| BRYN | Berkshire Hathaway | (428.00) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.39 | (1.42) | 5.19 | |
| GGG | PT Gudang Garam | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.62 | 0.01 | 7.81 | (5.19) | 22.73 | |
| UTY | PT United Tractors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.35 | 0.01 | 5.98 | (5.43) | 21.76 | |
| 0DY | FLANIGANS ENTER DL 1 | 0.40 | 2 per month | 1.95 | 0.01 | 4.58 | (4.17) | 9.53 | |
| OTP | OTP Bank Nyrt | 2.22 | 1 per month | 1.94 | 0.13 | 4.11 | (2.92) | 17.55 | |
| LSPP | Chocoladefabriken Lindt Sprngli | (12,660) | 7 per month | 1.30 | (0.04) | 2.00 | (1.73) | 5.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for SMTPC EO
For every potential investor in SMTPC, whether a beginner or expert, SMTPC EO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SMTPC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SMTPC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SMTPC EO's price trends.SMTPC EO Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SMTPC EO stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SMTPC EO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SMTPC EO by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SMTPC EO Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SMTPC EO stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SMTPC EO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SMTPC EO stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SMTPC EO 305 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.75 |
SMTPC EO Risk Indicators
The analysis of SMTPC EO's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SMTPC EO's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smtpc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6354 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9762 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.953 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SMTPC EO
The number of cover stories for SMTPC EO depends on current market conditions and SMTPC EO's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SMTPC EO is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SMTPC EO's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SMTPC EO Short Properties
SMTPC EO's future price predictability will typically decrease when SMTPC EO's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SMTPC EO 305 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SMTPC EO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SMTPC EO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0789 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 2.2 | |
| Shares Float | 1.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in SMTPC Stock
SMTPC EO financial ratios help investors to determine whether SMTPC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SMTPC with respect to the benefits of owning SMTPC EO security.