Gaztransport Technigaz Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

9TG Stock  EUR 181.10  4.20  2.37%   
Gaztransport Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Gaztransport Technigaz's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Gaztransport Technigaz's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gaztransport Technigaz's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gaztransport Technigaz and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gaztransport Technigaz's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gaztransport Technigaz SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gaztransport Technigaz's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.051
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.319
Using Gaztransport Technigaz hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gaztransport Technigaz SA from the perspective of Gaztransport Technigaz response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gaztransport Technigaz SA on the next trading day is expected to be 178.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 356.47.

Gaztransport Technigaz after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 181.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gaztransport Technigaz to cross-verify your projections.

Gaztransport Technigaz Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gaztransport price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gaztransport using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gaztransport charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Gaztransport Technigaz price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Gaztransport Technigaz Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Gaztransport Technigaz SA on the next trading day is expected to be 178.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.84, mean absolute percentage error of 47.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 356.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gaztransport Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gaztransport Technigaz's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gaztransport Technigaz Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gaztransport Technigaz  Gaztransport Technigaz Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Gaztransport Technigaz Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gaztransport Technigaz's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gaztransport Technigaz's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 176.55 and 179.76, respectively. We have considered Gaztransport Technigaz's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
181.10
176.55
Downside
178.15
Expected Value
179.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gaztransport Technigaz stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gaztransport Technigaz stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.977
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.8437
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0352
SAESum of the absolute errors356.4655
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Gaztransport Technigaz SA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Gaztransport Technigaz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaztransport Technigaz. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
179.61181.22182.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
173.99175.60199.21
Details

Gaztransport Technigaz After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gaztransport Technigaz at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gaztransport Technigaz or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gaztransport Technigaz, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gaztransport Technigaz Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gaztransport Technigaz's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gaztransport Technigaz's historical news coverage. Gaztransport Technigaz's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 179.61 and 182.83, respectively. We have considered Gaztransport Technigaz's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
181.10
179.61
Downside
181.22
After-hype Price
182.83
Upside
Gaztransport Technigaz is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gaztransport Technigaz is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gaztransport Technigaz Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gaztransport Technigaz is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gaztransport Technigaz backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gaztransport Technigaz, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.61
  0.12 
  0.18 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
181.10
181.22
0.07 
150.47  
Notes

Gaztransport Technigaz Hype Timeline

Gaztransport Technigaz is presently traded for 181.10on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Gaztransport is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 181.22 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 150.47%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Gaztransport Technigaz is about 99.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 180.92. The company reported the revenue of 641.39 M. Net Income was 347.76 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 711.19 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gaztransport Technigaz to cross-verify your projections.

Gaztransport Technigaz Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gaztransport Technigaz's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gaztransport Technigaz's future price movements. Getting to know how Gaztransport Technigaz's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gaztransport Technigaz may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TKDATakeda Pharmaceutical 0.00 8 per month 0.59  0.29  2.78 (1.44) 5.52 
GE9Genmab AS(13.10)7 per month 2.01 (0.01) 4.48 (3.42) 9.60 
CLNThe City of 0.02 7 per month 1.13  0.10  2.97 (2.21) 6.98 
R7IRENEWABLES INFRASTRUCTURE 0.00 4 per month 1.63 (0.03) 3.80 (3.61) 11.13 
5QGNEW FOUND GOLD 0.05 5 per month 5.00  0.09  11.93 (8.63) 40.57 
2HZOdyssean Investment Trust 0.04 3 per month 1.10  0.08  2.21 (2.62) 6.85 
14Dtokentus investment AG(0.02)1 per month 0.00 (0.03) 6.02 (9.09) 56.92 
GE0GRAYCLIFF EXPLORATION LTD 0.01 3 per month 21.79  0.19  248.33 (46.15) 1,837 

Other Forecasting Options for Gaztransport Technigaz

For every potential investor in Gaztransport, whether a beginner or expert, Gaztransport Technigaz's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gaztransport Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gaztransport. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gaztransport Technigaz's price trends.

Gaztransport Technigaz Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gaztransport Technigaz stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gaztransport Technigaz could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gaztransport Technigaz by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gaztransport Technigaz Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gaztransport Technigaz stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gaztransport Technigaz shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gaztransport Technigaz stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gaztransport Technigaz SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gaztransport Technigaz Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gaztransport Technigaz's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gaztransport Technigaz's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gaztransport stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Gaztransport Technigaz

The number of cover stories for Gaztransport Technigaz depends on current market conditions and Gaztransport Technigaz's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gaztransport Technigaz is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gaztransport Technigaz's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Gaztransport Stock

Gaztransport Technigaz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gaztransport Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gaztransport with respect to the benefits of owning Gaztransport Technigaz security.