Autohome Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| A1TH34 Stock | BRL 16.00 0.26 1.60% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Autohome on the next trading day is expected to be 17.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.83. Autohome Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Autohome stock prices and determine the direction of Autohome's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Autohome's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Autohome |
Autohome Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Autohome on the next trading day is expected to be 17.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 1.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Autohome Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Autohome's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Autohome Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Autohome | Autohome Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Autohome Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Autohome's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Autohome's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.74 and 19.54, respectively. We have considered Autohome's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Autohome stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Autohome stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4305 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0135 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0616 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 61.8254 |
Predictive Modules for Autohome
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autohome. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Autohome
For every potential investor in Autohome, whether a beginner or expert, Autohome's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Autohome Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Autohome. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Autohome's price trends.Autohome Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Autohome stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Autohome could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Autohome by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Autohome Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Autohome's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Autohome's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Autohome Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Autohome stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Autohome shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Autohome stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Autohome entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Autohome Risk Indicators
The analysis of Autohome's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Autohome's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting autohome stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Variance | 5.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Autohome Stock
When determining whether Autohome is a strong investment it is important to analyze Autohome's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Autohome's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Autohome Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Autohome to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Autohome Stock refer to our How to Trade Autohome Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..