AAC Clyde Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| AAC Stock | SEK 124.80 3.20 2.63% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of AAC Clyde Space on the next trading day is expected to be 114.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 652.12. AAC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of AAC Clyde's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AAC Clyde hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AAC Clyde Space from the perspective of AAC Clyde response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of AAC Clyde Space on the next trading day is expected to be 114.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 652.12. AAC Clyde after-hype prediction price | SEK 124.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AAC |
AAC Clyde Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AAC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AAC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AAC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AAC Clyde Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of AAC Clyde Space on the next trading day is expected to be 114.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.52, mean absolute percentage error of 139.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 652.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AAC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AAC Clyde's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AAC Clyde Stock Forecast Pattern
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AAC Clyde Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AAC Clyde's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AAC Clyde's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 109.10 and 119.09, respectively. We have considered AAC Clyde's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AAC Clyde stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AAC Clyde stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.886 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 10.5181 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1134 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 652.1232 |
Predictive Modules for AAC Clyde
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AAC Clyde Space. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AAC Clyde After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AAC Clyde at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AAC Clyde or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AAC Clyde, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AAC Clyde Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AAC Clyde's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AAC Clyde's historical news coverage. AAC Clyde's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.81 and 129.79, respectively. We have considered AAC Clyde's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AAC Clyde is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AAC Clyde Space is based on 3 months time horizon.
AAC Clyde Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AAC Clyde is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AAC Clyde backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AAC Clyde, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.62 | 4.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
124.80 | 124.80 | 0.00 |
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AAC Clyde Hype Timeline
AAC Clyde Space is presently traded for 124.80on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AAC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.62%. %. The volatility of related hype on AAC Clyde is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 124.80. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AAC Clyde Space recorded a loss per share of 0.26. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 50:1 split on the 12th of November 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AAC Clyde to cross-verify your projections.AAC Clyde Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AAC Clyde's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AAC Clyde's future price movements. Getting to know how AAC Clyde's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AAC Clyde may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AVT-B | AVTECH Sweden AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.17 | (4.55) | 18.83 | |
| CNCJO-B | Concejo AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.67 | (0.02) | 3.70 | (2.91) | 22.15 | |
| HAKI-B | HAKI Safety B | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | (0.02) | 2.44 | (2.35) | 10.17 | |
| CARE | Careium AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.55 | (0.02) | 3.93 | (3.41) | 29.19 | |
| WBGR-B | Wstbygg Gruppen AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.52 | (4.41) | 33.58 | |
| FNM | Ferronordic AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.04 | 2.85 | (1.90) | 7.16 | |
| DEDI | Dedicare AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.16 | (2.54) | 6.98 | |
| NORB-B | Nordisk Bergteknik AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.05 | 6.59 | (3.16) | 18.51 | |
| RAIL | Railcare Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.10 | 3.74 | (1.74) | 8.85 | |
| W5 | W5 Solutions AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.02 | 0.03 | 4.29 | (5.05) | 14.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for AAC Clyde
For every potential investor in AAC, whether a beginner or expert, AAC Clyde's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AAC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AAC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AAC Clyde's price trends.AAC Clyde Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AAC Clyde stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AAC Clyde could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AAC Clyde by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AAC Clyde Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AAC Clyde stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AAC Clyde shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AAC Clyde stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AAC Clyde Space entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AAC Clyde Risk Indicators
The analysis of AAC Clyde's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AAC Clyde's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.91 | |||
| Variance | 24.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 28.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AAC Clyde
The number of cover stories for AAC Clyde depends on current market conditions and AAC Clyde's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AAC Clyde is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AAC Clyde's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AAC Clyde Short Properties
AAC Clyde's future price predictability will typically decrease when AAC Clyde's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AAC Clyde Space often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AAC Clyde's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AAC Clyde's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 96.1 M |
Additional Tools for AAC Stock Analysis
When running AAC Clyde's price analysis, check to measure AAC Clyde's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AAC Clyde is operating at the current time. Most of AAC Clyde's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AAC Clyde's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AAC Clyde's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AAC Clyde to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.