ATA Creativity Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AACG Stock | USD 1.12 0.02 1.75% |
ATA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ATA Creativity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of ATA Creativity's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ATA Creativity, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.585 | Wall Street Target Price 11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 |
Using ATA Creativity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ATA Creativity Global from the perspective of ATA Creativity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ATA Creativity Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.51. ATA Creativity after-hype prediction price | USD 1.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ATA Creativity to cross-verify your projections. ATA Creativity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ATA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ATA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ATA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ATA Creativity Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ATA Creativity Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ATA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ATA Creativity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ATA Creativity Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ATA Creativity | ATA Creativity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ATA Creativity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ATA Creativity's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ATA Creativity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.29, respectively. We have considered ATA Creativity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ATA Creativity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ATA Creativity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.4481 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0015 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0418 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.04 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.5079 |
Predictive Modules for ATA Creativity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATA Creativity Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ATA Creativity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ATA Creativity After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ATA Creativity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ATA Creativity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ATA Creativity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ATA Creativity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ATA Creativity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ATA Creativity's historical news coverage. ATA Creativity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 6.30, respectively. We have considered ATA Creativity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ATA Creativity is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ATA Creativity Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
ATA Creativity Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ATA Creativity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ATA Creativity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ATA Creativity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 5.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.12 | 1.14 | 0.00 |
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ATA Creativity Hype Timeline
ATA Creativity Global is presently traded for 1.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ATA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on ATA Creativity is about 57333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.12. The book value of the company was presently reported as 0.27. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. ATA Creativity Global last dividend was issued on the 27th of August 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ATA Creativity to cross-verify your projections.ATA Creativity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ATA Creativity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ATA Creativity's future price movements. Getting to know how ATA Creativity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ATA Creativity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EDTK | Skillful Craftsman Education | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.12 | (4.76) | 12.61 | |
| BTCT | BTC Digital | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.39 | (7.44) | 31.86 | |
| BEDU | Bright Scholar Education | 0.02 | 5 per month | 1.38 | 0.17 | 3.72 | (2.24) | 21.46 | |
| MTEX | Mannatech Incorporated | 0.34 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.11 | (5.75) | 36.78 | |
| BTOG | Bit Origin | (0.20) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 8.29 | (11.71) | 52.92 | |
| NAII | Natural Alternatives International | (0.07) | 8 per month | 3.05 | 0.14 | 9.16 | (5.65) | 28.68 | |
| WAFU | Wah Fu Education | (0.05) | 10 per month | 2.44 | 0.02 | 4.32 | (4.71) | 15.74 | |
| MWYN | Marwynn Holdings Common | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.50 | (7.87) | 29.68 | |
| WVVI | Willamette Valley Vineyards | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.81 | (7.09) | 22.81 | |
| BLNE | Eastside Distilling | (0.09) | 8 per month | 6.85 | 0.04 | 13.82 | (10.41) | 27.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for ATA Creativity
For every potential investor in ATA, whether a beginner or expert, ATA Creativity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ATA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ATA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ATA Creativity's price trends.ATA Creativity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ATA Creativity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ATA Creativity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ATA Creativity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ATA Creativity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ATA Creativity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ATA Creativity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ATA Creativity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ATA Creativity Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ATA Creativity Risk Indicators
The analysis of ATA Creativity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ATA Creativity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.07 | |||
| Variance | 25.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ATA Creativity
The number of cover stories for ATA Creativity depends on current market conditions and ATA Creativity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ATA Creativity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ATA Creativity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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ATA Creativity Short Properties
ATA Creativity's future price predictability will typically decrease when ATA Creativity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ATA Creativity Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ATA Creativity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATA Creativity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ATA Creativity to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Can Diversified Consumer Services industry sustain growth momentum? Does ATA have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ATA Creativity. If investors know ATA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating ATA Creativity demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.585 | Earnings Share (0.04) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 | Return On Assets |
Understanding ATA Creativity Global requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects ATA's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what ATA Creativity's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push ATA Creativity's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that ATA Creativity's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether ATA Creativity represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, ATA Creativity's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.