Aurora Solar Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AACTF Stock | USD 0.01 0 14.29% |
Aurora Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aurora Solar's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Aurora Solar's share price is at 50. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aurora Solar, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aurora Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aurora Solar Technologies from the perspective of Aurora Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aurora Solar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03. Aurora Solar after-hype prediction price | USD 0.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aurora |
Aurora Solar Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aurora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aurora Solar Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aurora Solar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000042, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aurora Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aurora Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aurora Solar Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aurora Solar | Aurora Solar Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Aurora Solar Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aurora Solar's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aurora Solar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00008 and 11.41, respectively. We have considered Aurora Solar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aurora Solar pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aurora Solar pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.4364 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0669 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0317 |
Predictive Modules for Aurora Solar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aurora Solar Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aurora Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aurora Solar After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aurora Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aurora Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Aurora Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aurora Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aurora Solar's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aurora Solar's historical news coverage. Aurora Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 11.32, respectively. We have considered Aurora Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aurora Solar is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aurora Solar Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aurora Solar Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aurora Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurora Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aurora Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 11.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 25.00 |
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Aurora Solar Hype Timeline
Aurora Solar Technologies is presently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aurora is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Aurora Solar is about 1.14E8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Aurora Solar Technologies has accumulated 60 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Aurora Solar Technologies has a current ratio of 3.56, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aurora Solar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aurora Solar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aurora Solar Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aurora to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aurora Solar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aurora Solar to cross-verify your projections.Aurora Solar Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aurora Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aurora Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how Aurora Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aurora Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAENF | Solar Alliance Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.99 | 0.06 | 26.13 | (20.44) | 69.11 | |
| RHCCF | Royal Helium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.45 | 0.17 | 90.00 | (50.00) | 185.71 | |
| PTOS | P2 Solar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.18 | 0.06 | 20.91 | (9.00) | 90.34 | |
| MDMP | MDM Permian | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 16.67 | (15.71) | 41.21 | |
| CTARF | Centaurus Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.44 | (5.16) | 57.50 | |
| BYOGF | Bounty Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.00 | |
| EFIR | EGPI Firecreek | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CRRDF | Cheetah Canyon Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SIRC | Solar Integrated Roofing | 0.0001 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OILCF | Permex Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aurora Solar
For every potential investor in Aurora, whether a beginner or expert, Aurora Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aurora Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aurora. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aurora Solar's price trends.Aurora Solar Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aurora Solar pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aurora Solar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurora Solar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aurora Solar Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aurora Solar pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aurora Solar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aurora Solar pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Aurora Solar Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.14 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.008 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.008 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.001 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.89 |
Aurora Solar Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aurora Solar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aurora Solar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aurora pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.45 | |||
| Variance | 131.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 192.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 71.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (15.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aurora Solar
The number of cover stories for Aurora Solar depends on current market conditions and Aurora Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aurora Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aurora Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aurora Solar Short Properties
Aurora Solar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aurora Solar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aurora Solar Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aurora Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aurora Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 145 M | |
| Shares Float | 194.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Aurora Pink Sheet
Aurora Solar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aurora Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aurora with respect to the benefits of owning Aurora Solar security.