Acadian Asset Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| AAMI Stock | 48.52 3.99 7.60% |
Acadian Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Acadian Asset's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Acadian Asset's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.64 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.4267 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.2433 | Wall Street Target Price 52.3333 |
Using Acadian Asset hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acadian Asset Management from the perspective of Acadian Asset response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Acadian Asset using Acadian Asset's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Acadian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Acadian Asset's stock price.
Acadian Asset Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Acadian Asset's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Acadian. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Acadian Asset stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 42.4656 | Short Percent 0.0749 | Short Ratio 4.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 705.4 K | 50 Day MA 49.5996 |
Acadian Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Acadian Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 55.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.47.Acadian Asset Management Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Acadian Asset's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Acadian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Acadian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Acadian Asset Management. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Acadian Asset's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Acadian Asset.
Acadian Asset Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Acadian Asset's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Acadian Asset Management stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Acadian Asset's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Acadian Asset stock will not fluctuate a lot when Acadian Asset's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Acadian Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 55.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.47. Acadian Asset after-hype prediction price | USD 48.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acadian Asset to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Acadian contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Acadian Asset Management will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Acadian Asset trading at USD 48.52, that is roughly USD 0.0227 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Acadian Asset's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Acadian Asset Management options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Acadian Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Acadian Asset's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Acadian Asset's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Acadian Asset stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Acadian Asset's open interest, investors have to compare it to Acadian Asset's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Acadian Asset is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Acadian. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Acadian Asset Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Acadian Asset Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Acadian Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 55.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43, mean absolute percentage error of 3.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acadian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acadian Asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Acadian Asset Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Acadian Asset | Acadian Asset Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Acadian Asset Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Acadian Asset's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acadian Asset's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 52.81 and 57.36, respectively. We have considered Acadian Asset's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acadian Asset stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acadian Asset stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3795 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4339 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0291 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 87.4678 |
Predictive Modules for Acadian Asset
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acadian Asset Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Acadian Asset After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acadian Asset at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acadian Asset or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acadian Asset, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acadian Asset Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acadian Asset's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acadian Asset's historical news coverage. Acadian Asset's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.17 and 50.89, respectively. We have considered Acadian Asset's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acadian Asset is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acadian Asset Management is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acadian Asset Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acadian Asset is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acadian Asset backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acadian Asset, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.27 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.52 | 48.53 | 0.02 |
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Acadian Asset Hype Timeline
Acadian Asset Management is presently traded for 48.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Acadian is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 48.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Acadian Asset is about 14187.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.52. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 505.6 M. Net Income was 85 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 245.5 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acadian Asset to cross-verify your projections.Acadian Asset Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acadian Asset's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acadian Asset's future price movements. Getting to know how Acadian Asset's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acadian Asset may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AJMPF | Ashmore Group Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.94 | 0.10 | 6.94 | (4.85) | 23.17 | |
| OXLC | Oxford Lane Capital | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.53 | (3.64) | 20.96 | |
| TGONF | Tetragon Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.69 | (3.18) | 7.04 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.97 | (0.01) | 2.52 | (1.59) | 4.90 | |
| SFFFF | Peugeot Invest Socit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CET | Central Securities | 0.27 | 8 per month | 0.51 | 0.03 | 1.13 | (1.05) | 3.06 | |
| TY | Tri Continental Closed | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.04 | (0.89) | 7.86 | |
| GAM | General American Investors | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.34 | 0.04 | 1.24 | (0.83) | 2.57 | |
| CSWC | Capital Southwest | (0.29) | 7 per month | 0.79 | 0.13 | 2.20 | (1.37) | 6.18 | |
| RTOBF | Ratos AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Acadian Asset
For every potential investor in Acadian, whether a beginner or expert, Acadian Asset's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acadian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acadian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acadian Asset's price trends.Acadian Asset Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acadian Asset stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acadian Asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acadian Asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Acadian Asset Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acadian Asset stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acadian Asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acadian Asset stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acadian Asset Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Acadian Asset Risk Indicators
The analysis of Acadian Asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acadian Asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acadian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Variance | 5.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Acadian Asset
The number of cover stories for Acadian Asset depends on current market conditions and Acadian Asset's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acadian Asset is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acadian Asset's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acadian Asset Short Properties
Acadian Asset's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acadian Asset's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acadian Asset Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acadian Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadian Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acadian Asset to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is there potential for Asset Management & Custody Banks market expansion? Will Acadian introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acadian Asset. If investors know Acadian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Acadian Asset listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 0.04 | Earnings Share 2.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.171 |
Acadian Asset Management's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Acadian's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Acadian Asset's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Acadian Asset's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Acadian Asset's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Acadian Asset represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Acadian Asset's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.