Apple CDR Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| AAPL Stock | 39.65 0.32 0.81% |
Apple Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Apple CDR's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Apple CDR's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Apple CDR fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Apple CDR's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.183 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.157 |
Using Apple CDR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apple CDR from the perspective of Apple CDR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Apple CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 40.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.75. Apple CDR after-hype prediction price | CAD 39.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Apple |
Apple CDR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Apple price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apple using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apple charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Apple CDR Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Apple CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 40.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apple Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apple CDR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Apple CDR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Apple CDR | Apple CDR Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Apple CDR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Apple CDR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apple CDR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.89 and 41.27, respectively. We have considered Apple CDR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apple CDR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apple CDR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2853 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5205 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0137 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.7478 |
Predictive Modules for Apple CDR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apple CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apple CDR After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Apple CDR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apple CDR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apple CDR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Apple CDR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Apple CDR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apple CDR's historical news coverage. Apple CDR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.45 and 40.83, respectively. We have considered Apple CDR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Apple CDR is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple CDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Apple CDR Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apple CDR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apple CDR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apple CDR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.19 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.65 | 39.64 | 0.03 |
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Apple CDR Hype Timeline
Apple CDR is presently traded for 39.65on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Apple is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Apple CDR is about 2872.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.65. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.45. Apple CDR last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apple CDR to cross-verify your projections.Apple CDR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Apple CDR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apple CDR's future price movements. Getting to know how Apple CDR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apple CDR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POND | Pond Technologies Holdings | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| D-UN | Dream Office Real | 0.08 | 6 per month | 1.52 | 0.02 | 2.69 | (2.64) | 5.69 | |
| LNF | Leons Furniture Limited | (0.60) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.73 | (2.12) | 9.71 | |
| HD | HOME DEPOT CDR | 0.23 | 1 per month | 1.65 | (0.04) | 2.60 | (2.33) | 7.70 | |
| CUB | CubicFarm Systems Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XTRA | Xtract One Technologies | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.97 | (5.97) | 19.86 | |
| SPRX | Sparx Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.81 | (5.40) | 14.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Apple CDR
For every potential investor in Apple, whether a beginner or expert, Apple CDR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apple Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apple. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apple CDR's price trends.Apple CDR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apple CDR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apple CDR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apple CDR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Apple CDR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apple CDR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apple CDR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apple CDR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apple CDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Apple CDR Risk Indicators
The analysis of Apple CDR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apple CDR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apple stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7909 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.921 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8482 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Apple CDR
The number of cover stories for Apple CDR depends on current market conditions and Apple CDR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apple CDR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apple CDR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Apple CDR Short Properties
Apple CDR's future price predictability will typically decrease when Apple CDR's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apple CDR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apple CDR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apple CDR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.7 B |
Other Information on Investing in Apple Stock
Apple CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apple Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apple with respect to the benefits of owning Apple CDR security.