Aave Crypto Coin Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AAVE Crypto | USD 109.45 0.07 0.06% |
Aave Crypto Coin outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aave crypto prices and determine the direction of Aave's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Aave's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Aave's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the crypto coin is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aave hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aave from the perspective of Aave response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Aave Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aave's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aave. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aave can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aave. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding crypto coins that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aave's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aave.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aave on the next trading day is expected to be 109.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 396.20. Aave after-hype prediction price | .CC 117.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aave |
Aave Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aave price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aave using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aave charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aave Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aave on the next trading day is expected to be 109.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.50, mean absolute percentage error of 77.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 396.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aave Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aave's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aave Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern
Aave Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aave's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aave's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 103.94 and 114.96, respectively. We have considered Aave's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aave crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aave crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.4604 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.1272 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.4951 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0412 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 396.2 |
Predictive Modules for Aave
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aave. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aave After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aave at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aave or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Aave, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aave Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aave's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aave's historical news coverage. Aave's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.51 and 122.63, respectively. We have considered Aave's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aave is unusually risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aave is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aave Crypto Coin Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Aave is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aave backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aave, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 5.51 | 7.67 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
109.45 | 117.12 | 7.01 |
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Aave Hype Timeline
Aave is presently traded for 109.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 7.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Aave is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 117.12 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 41.65%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 7.01%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Aave is about 2322444.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 109.45. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aave to cross-verify your projections.Aave Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aave's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aave's future price movements. Getting to know how Aave's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aave may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STETH | Staked Ether | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.86 | (8.85) | 24.13 | |
| EIGEN | EigenLayer | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 9.09 | (10.00) | 30.00 | |
| EOSDAC | EOSDAC | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.86 | (9.26) | 24.16 | |
| BLZ | BLZ | (0) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 18.07 | (12.12) | 37.97 | |
| MORPHO | Morpho | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.96 | (9.09) | 26.57 | |
| DIA | DIA | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 7.69 | (9.52) | 31.53 | |
| EM | EM | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AE | AE | (0.0005) | 1 per month | 10.22 | 0.14 | 26.31 | (5.64) | 151.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aave
For every potential investor in Aave, whether a beginner or expert, Aave's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aave Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aave. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aave's price trends.Aave Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aave crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aave could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aave by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aave Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aave crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aave shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aave crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Aave entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1279.77 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1111 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 109.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 109.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.07 |
Aave Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aave's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aave's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aave crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.59 | |||
| Variance | 31.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aave
The number of cover stories for Aave depends on current market conditions and Aave's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aave is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aave's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aave to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.