Aamaxan Transport Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AAXT Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aamaxan Transport Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Aamaxan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Aamaxan Transport's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aamaxan Transport's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aamaxan Transport Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Aamaxan Transport's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.242
Using Aamaxan Transport hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aamaxan Transport Group from the perspective of Aamaxan Transport response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aamaxan Transport Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Aamaxan Transport after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aamaxan Transport to cross-verify your projections.

Aamaxan Transport Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aamaxan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aamaxan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aamaxan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Aamaxan Transport's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.6 M
Current Value
2.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
132.6 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Aamaxan Transport is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aamaxan Transport Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aamaxan Transport Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aamaxan Transport Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aamaxan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aamaxan Transport's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aamaxan Transport Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aamaxan TransportAamaxan Transport Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Aamaxan Transport Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aamaxan Transport's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aamaxan Transport's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Aamaxan Transport's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aamaxan Transport stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aamaxan Transport stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aamaxan Transport Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aamaxan Transport. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aamaxan Transport

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aamaxan Transport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aamaxan Transport's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Aamaxan Transport After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aamaxan Transport at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aamaxan Transport or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aamaxan Transport, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aamaxan Transport Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aamaxan Transport's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aamaxan Transport's historical news coverage. Aamaxan Transport's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Aamaxan Transport's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Aamaxan Transport is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aamaxan Transport is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aamaxan Transport Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aamaxan Transport is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aamaxan Transport backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aamaxan Transport, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Aamaxan Transport Hype Timeline

Aamaxan Transport is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aamaxan is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aamaxan Transport is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aamaxan Transport had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:100 split on the 9th of October 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aamaxan Transport to cross-verify your projections.

Aamaxan Transport Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aamaxan Transport's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aamaxan Transport's future price movements. Getting to know how Aamaxan Transport's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aamaxan Transport may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
THMOThermogenesis Holdings 0.00 0 per month 17.40  0.09  20.00 (28.57) 666.67 
ETAOFETAO International Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.00  0.00  33.33 
DMSIDermisonics 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IBXGiBX Group 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PPRGPatient Portal Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BMGPBiomagnetics Diagnos 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VRAYQViewRay 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JUVAFJuva Life 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NMTRQ9 Meters Biopharma 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VICARafina Innovations 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  0.00  0.00  190.48 

Other Forecasting Options for Aamaxan Transport

For every potential investor in Aamaxan, whether a beginner or expert, Aamaxan Transport's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aamaxan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aamaxan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aamaxan Transport's price trends.

Aamaxan Transport Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aamaxan Transport stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aamaxan Transport could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aamaxan Transport by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aamaxan Transport Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aamaxan Transport stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aamaxan Transport shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aamaxan Transport stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aamaxan Transport Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Aamaxan Transport

The number of cover stories for Aamaxan Transport depends on current market conditions and Aamaxan Transport's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aamaxan Transport is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aamaxan Transport's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Aamaxan Stock Analysis

When running Aamaxan Transport's price analysis, check to measure Aamaxan Transport's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aamaxan Transport is operating at the current time. Most of Aamaxan Transport's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aamaxan Transport's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aamaxan Transport's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aamaxan Transport to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.