21Shares Bitcoin Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ABBA Etf | CHF 26.41 0.17 0.64% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 21Shares Bitcoin Suisse on the next trading day is expected to be 26.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.71. 21Shares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of 21Shares Bitcoin's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using 21Shares Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 21Shares Bitcoin Suisse from the perspective of 21Shares Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 21Shares Bitcoin Suisse on the next trading day is expected to be 26.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.71. 21Shares Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | CHF 26.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
21Shares |
21Shares Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 21Shares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 21Shares using various technical indicators. When you analyze 21Shares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
21Shares Bitcoin Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 21Shares Bitcoin Suisse on the next trading day is expected to be 26.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 21Shares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 21Shares Bitcoin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
21Shares Bitcoin Etf Forecast Pattern
21Shares Bitcoin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 21Shares Bitcoin's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 21Shares Bitcoin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.31 and 29.51, respectively. We have considered 21Shares Bitcoin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 21Shares Bitcoin etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 21Shares Bitcoin etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8366 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0998 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6674 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0235 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.71 |
Predictive Modules for 21Shares Bitcoin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 21Shares Bitcoin Suisse. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.21Shares Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of 21Shares Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 21Shares Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of 21Shares Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
21Shares Bitcoin Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as 21Shares Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 21Shares Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 21Shares Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 3.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.41 | 26.41 | 0.00 |
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21Shares Bitcoin Hype Timeline
21Shares Bitcoin Suisse is presently traded for 26.41on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. 21Shares is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on 21Shares Bitcoin is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.41. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out fundamental analysis of 21Shares Bitcoin to check your projections.21Shares Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 21Shares Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 21Shares Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how 21Shares Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 21Shares Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POLY | 21Shares Polygon ETP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 25.89 | (22.88) | 72.61 | |
| CBTC | 21Shares Bitcoin Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.53 | (5.05) | 14.86 | |
| ETHC | 21Shares Ethereum Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.35 | (6.77) | 18.54 | |
| AXTZ | 21Shares Tezos staking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.90 | (0.02) | 7.34 | (6.50) | 22.98 | |
| ABTC-GBP | 21Shares Bitcoin ETP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.21 | (4.44) | 12.82 | |
| ALGO-USD | 21Shares Algorand ETP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.69 | (9.37) | 26.90 | |
| AXLM-USD | 21Shares Stellar ETP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 8.67 | (8.43) | 22.71 | |
| AETH-USD | 21Shares Ethereum Staking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.99 | (6.29) | 17.90 | |
| ABBA | 21Shares Bitcoin Suisse | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.24 | (4.93) | 15.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for 21Shares Bitcoin
For every potential investor in 21Shares, whether a beginner or expert, 21Shares Bitcoin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 21Shares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 21Shares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 21Shares Bitcoin's price trends.21Shares Bitcoin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 21Shares Bitcoin etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 21Shares Bitcoin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 21Shares Bitcoin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
21Shares Bitcoin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 21Shares Bitcoin etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 21Shares Bitcoin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 21Shares Bitcoin etf market strength indicators, traders can identify 21Shares Bitcoin Suisse entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
21Shares Bitcoin Risk Indicators
The analysis of 21Shares Bitcoin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 21Shares Bitcoin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 21shares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.14 | |||
| Variance | 9.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for 21Shares Bitcoin
The number of cover stories for 21Shares Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and 21Shares Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 21Shares Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 21Shares Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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21Shares Bitcoin Short Properties
21Shares Bitcoin's future price predictability will typically decrease when 21Shares Bitcoin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 21Shares Bitcoin Suisse often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 21Shares Bitcoin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 21Shares Bitcoin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 32.38k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 13.45k |
Other Information on Investing in 21Shares Etf
21Shares Bitcoin financial ratios help investors to determine whether 21Shares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 21Shares with respect to the benefits of owning 21Shares Bitcoin security.