Abeona Therapeutics Stock Forward View
| ABEO Stock | USD 5.22 0.05 0.97% |
Abeona Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Abeona Therapeutics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Abeona Therapeutics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Abeona Therapeutics fundamentals over time.
As of today, The RSI of Abeona Therapeutics' share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Abeona Therapeutics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 20.6429 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.34) |
Using Abeona Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abeona Therapeutics from the perspective of Abeona Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Abeona Therapeutics using Abeona Therapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Abeona using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Abeona Therapeutics' stock price.
Abeona Therapeutics Short Interest
An investor who is long Abeona Therapeutics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Abeona Therapeutics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Abeona Therapeutics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.6958 | Short Percent 0.2719 | Short Ratio 12.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.2 M | 50 Day MA 5.0736 |
Abeona Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Abeona Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 5.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.07.Abeona Therapeutics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Abeona Therapeutics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Abeona. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Abeona can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Abeona Therapeutics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Abeona Therapeutics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Abeona Therapeutics.
Abeona Therapeutics Implied Volatility | 1.85 |
Abeona Therapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Abeona Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Abeona Therapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Abeona Therapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Abeona Therapeutics' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Abeona Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 5.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.07. Abeona Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 5.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abeona Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Abeona contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Abeona Therapeutics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.12% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Abeona Therapeutics trading at USD 5.22, that is roughly USD 0.006036 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Abeona Therapeutics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Abeona Therapeutics options at the current volatility level of 1.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Abeona Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Abeona Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Abeona Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Abeona Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Abeona Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Abeona Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Abeona Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Abeona. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Abeona Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Abeona price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abeona using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abeona charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Abeona Therapeutics Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Abeona Therapeutics' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1996-03-31 | Previous Quarter 163.5 M | Current Value 83.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 28.9 M |
Abeona Therapeutics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Abeona Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 5.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abeona Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abeona Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Abeona Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Abeona Therapeutics | Abeona Therapeutics Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Abeona Therapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Abeona Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abeona Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.01 and 9.20, respectively. We have considered Abeona Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abeona Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abeona Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7996 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1487 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0301 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.0699 |
Predictive Modules for Abeona Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abeona Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abeona Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Abeona Therapeutics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Abeona Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abeona Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abeona Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Abeona Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Abeona Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abeona Therapeutics' historical news coverage. Abeona Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.10 and 9.30, respectively. We have considered Abeona Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Abeona Therapeutics is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abeona Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Abeona Therapeutics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abeona Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abeona Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abeona Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 4.10 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.22 | 5.20 | 0.58 |
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Abeona Therapeutics Hype Timeline
Abeona Therapeutics is presently traded for 5.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Abeona is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Abeona Therapeutics is about 18450.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.23. Net Loss for the year was (63.73 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (29.28 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abeona Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.Abeona Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Abeona Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abeona Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how Abeona Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abeona Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNYA | Tenaya Therapeutics | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 11.72 | (11.04) | 51.79 | |
| ELDN | Eledon Pharmaceuticals | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.97 | (7.95) | 56.54 | |
| PBYI | Puma Biotechnology | (0.08) | 8 per month | 4.27 | 0.1 | 5.81 | (3.85) | 43.28 | |
| HUMA | Humacyte | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.16 | (8.13) | 20.54 | |
| VYGR | Voyager Therapeutics | (0.07) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.58 | (5.23) | 19.71 | |
| ARCT | Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings | (0.31) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.10 | (6.72) | 15.98 | |
| FHTX | Foghorn Therapeutics | 0.46 | 7 per month | 4.28 | 0.11 | 9.16 | (5.56) | 31.12 | |
| SGMT | Sagimet Biosciences Series | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.08 | (8.25) | 23.02 | |
| ASMB | Assembly Biosciences | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.85 | (6.65) | 18.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Abeona Therapeutics
For every potential investor in Abeona, whether a beginner or expert, Abeona Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abeona Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abeona. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abeona Therapeutics' price trends.Abeona Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abeona Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abeona Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abeona Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Abeona Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abeona Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abeona Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abeona Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Abeona Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Abeona Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Abeona Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abeona Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abeona stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.11 | |||
| Variance | 16.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Abeona Therapeutics
The number of cover stories for Abeona Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and Abeona Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abeona Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abeona Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Abeona Therapeutics Short Properties
Abeona Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Abeona Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abeona Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abeona Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abeona Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 97.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abeona Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Abeona Stock, please use our How to Invest in Abeona Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Abeona diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abeona Therapeutics. If investors know Abeona will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Abeona Therapeutics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share 1.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Abeona Therapeutics using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Abeona Therapeutics' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Abeona Therapeutics' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Abeona Therapeutics' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Abeona Therapeutics represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Abeona Therapeutics' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.