Abeo SAS Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

ABEO Stock  EUR 8.84  0.02  0.23%   
Abeo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Abeo SAS stock prices and determine the direction of Abeo SAS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Abeo SAS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Abeo SAS's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Abeo SAS's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Abeo SAS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Abeo SAS's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.588
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.714
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.899
Wall Street Target Price
17.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.118
Using Abeo SAS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abeo SAS from the perspective of Abeo SAS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Abeo SAS on the next trading day is expected to be 8.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.99.

Abeo SAS after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 8.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abeo SAS to cross-verify your projections.

Abeo SAS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Abeo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abeo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abeo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Abeo SAS is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Abeo SAS Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Abeo SAS on the next trading day is expected to be 8.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abeo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abeo SAS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Abeo SAS Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Abeo SAS  Abeo SAS Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Abeo SAS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Abeo SAS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abeo SAS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.21 and 10.47, respectively. We have considered Abeo SAS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.84
8.84
Expected Value
10.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abeo SAS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abeo SAS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6054
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.1015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0116
SAESum of the absolute errors5.99
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Abeo SAS price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Abeo SAS. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Abeo SAS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abeo SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.218.8410.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.767.399.02
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.430.430.43
Details

Abeo SAS After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Abeo SAS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abeo SAS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abeo SAS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Abeo SAS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Abeo SAS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abeo SAS's historical news coverage. Abeo SAS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.21 and 10.47, respectively. We have considered Abeo SAS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.84
8.84
After-hype Price
10.47
Upside
Abeo SAS is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abeo SAS is based on 3 months time horizon.

Abeo SAS Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abeo SAS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abeo SAS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abeo SAS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
1.63
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.84
8.84
0.00 
4,075  
Notes

Abeo SAS Hype Timeline

Abeo SAS is presently traded for 8.84on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Abeo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Abeo SAS is about 7761.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.84. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.66. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Abeo SAS has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.47. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of July 2025. The firm had 1:25 split on the 5th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abeo SAS to cross-verify your projections.

Abeo SAS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Abeo SAS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abeo SAS's future price movements. Getting to know how Abeo SAS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abeo SAS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALLEXLexibook Linguistic Electronic 0.02 3 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.46 (4.42) 18.62 
ALATIActia Group(0.02)1 per month 1.36  0.02  3.30 (2.36) 7.44 
TRACTTeract SA(0.03)3 per month 0.00  0.16  2.13 (2.02) 117.11 
SRPSRP Groupe SA 0.02 2 per month 2.25  0.17  10.26 (4.65) 21.17 
ALMRBMr Bricolage(0.20)3 per month 0.00 (0.21) 3.13 (3.42) 10.23 
MLHOTHotelim Socit Anonyme 0.00 0 per month 2.79  0.03  9.80 (5.42) 30.71 
ALDARDamartex 0.16 1 per month 0.00 (0.22) 4.94 (4.69) 14.06 
MDMMaisons du Monde 0.05 4 per month 0.00 (0.21) 3.26 (4.19) 11.55 
ALHRSHydrogen Refueling Solutions(0.05)5 per month 0.00 (0.27) 6.29 (6.32) 17.01 
ALBIGascogne SA(0.16)1 per month 0.00 (0.03) 7.27 (6.84) 15.25 

Other Forecasting Options for Abeo SAS

For every potential investor in Abeo, whether a beginner or expert, Abeo SAS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abeo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abeo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abeo SAS's price trends.

Abeo SAS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abeo SAS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abeo SAS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abeo SAS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Abeo SAS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abeo SAS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abeo SAS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abeo SAS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Abeo SAS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Abeo SAS Risk Indicators

The analysis of Abeo SAS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abeo SAS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abeo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Abeo SAS

The number of cover stories for Abeo SAS depends on current market conditions and Abeo SAS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abeo SAS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abeo SAS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Abeo SAS Short Properties

Abeo SAS's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abeo SAS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abeo SAS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abeo SAS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abeo SAS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.4 M

Other Information on Investing in Abeo Stock

Abeo SAS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abeo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abeo with respect to the benefits of owning Abeo SAS security.