ABF Thailand Etf Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

ABFTH Etf   1,245  99.00  7.37%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of The ABF Thailand on the next trading day is expected to be 1,250 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.95. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast ABF Thailand's etf prices and determine the direction of The ABF Thailand's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for The ABF Thailand is based on a synthetically constructed ABF Thailanddaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

ABF Thailand 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of The ABF Thailand on the next trading day is expected to be 1,250 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.54, mean absolute percentage error of 239.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ABF Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ABF Thailand's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ABF Thailand Etf Forecast Pattern

ABF Thailand Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ABF Thailand's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ABF Thailand's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,249 and 1,251, respectively. We have considered ABF Thailand's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,245
1,250
Expected Value
1,251
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ABF Thailand etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ABF Thailand etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria86.8321
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.2939
MADMean absolute deviation2.5354
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0019
SAESum of the absolute errors103.95
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. ABF Thailand 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for ABF Thailand

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABF Thailand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ABF Thailand. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ABF Thailand's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ABF Thailand's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ABF Thailand.

Other Forecasting Options for ABF Thailand

For every potential investor in ABF, whether a beginner or expert, ABF Thailand's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ABF Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ABF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ABF Thailand's price trends.

ABF Thailand Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ABF Thailand etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ABF Thailand could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ABF Thailand by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ABF Thailand Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ABF Thailand's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ABF Thailand's current price.

ABF Thailand Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ABF Thailand etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ABF Thailand shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ABF Thailand etf market strength indicators, traders can identify The ABF Thailand entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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