Abacus Life Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ABLLLDelisted Stock   25.46  0.05  0.20%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Abacus Life 9875 on the next trading day is expected to be 25.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.61. Abacus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now The value of RSI of Abacus Life's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 96

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Abacus Life's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Abacus Life and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Abacus Life's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Abacus Life 9875, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Abacus Life hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abacus Life 9875 from the perspective of Abacus Life response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Abacus Life 9875 on the next trading day is expected to be 25.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.61.

Abacus Life after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abacus Life to cross-verify your projections.

Abacus Life Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Abacus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abacus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abacus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Abacus Life - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Abacus Life prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Abacus Life price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Abacus Life 9875.

Abacus Life Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Abacus Life 9875 on the next trading day is expected to be 25.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abacus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abacus Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Abacus Life Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Abacus LifeAbacus Life Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Abacus Life Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Abacus Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abacus Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.23 and 25.72, respectively. We have considered Abacus Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.46
25.48
Expected Value
25.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abacus Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abacus Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0083
MADMean absolute deviation0.0442
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0018
SAESum of the absolute errors2.6084
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Abacus Life observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Abacus Life 9875 observations.

Predictive Modules for Abacus Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abacus Life 9875. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.2225.4625.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1821.4228.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.3825.4425.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Abacus Life

For every potential investor in Abacus, whether a beginner or expert, Abacus Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abacus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abacus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abacus Life's price trends.

Abacus Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abacus Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abacus Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abacus Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Abacus Life 9875 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Abacus Life's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Abacus Life's current price.

Abacus Life Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abacus Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abacus Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abacus Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Abacus Life 9875 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Abacus Life Risk Indicators

The analysis of Abacus Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abacus Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abacus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abacus Life to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Abacus Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Abacus Life 9875 check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Abacus Life's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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