AB International Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

ABQQ Stock  USD 0.88  0.09  9.28%   
ABQQ Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of AB International's share price is at 51. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AB International, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of AB International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AB International Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using AB International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AB International Group from the perspective of AB International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of AB International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.42.

AB International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AB International to cross-verify your projections.

AB International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ABQQ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ABQQ using various technical indicators. When you analyze ABQQ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through AB International price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

AB International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of AB International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ABQQ Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AB International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AB International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest AB International  AB International Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

AB International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AB International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AB International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 52.27, respectively. We have considered AB International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.88
1.13
Expected Value
52.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AB International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AB International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9658
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1708
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.4149
SAESum of the absolute errors10.4165
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as AB International Group historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for AB International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.8894.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.8494.84
Details

AB International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AB International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AB International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of AB International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AB International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AB International's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AB International's historical news coverage. AB International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 94.88, respectively. We have considered AB International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.88
0.88
After-hype Price
94.88
Upside
AB International is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AB International is based on 3 months time horizon.

AB International Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AB International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AB International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AB International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  7.84 
51.15
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.88
0.88
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

AB International Hype Timeline

AB International is presently traded for 0.88. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ABQQ is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 7.84%. %. The volatility of related hype on AB International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.88. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AB International has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 333.33. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The firm last dividend was issued on the 17th of June 2019. AB International had 1:50 split on the 17th of June 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AB International to cross-verify your projections.

AB International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AB International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AB International's future price movements. Getting to know how AB International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AB International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LUXFFLuxxfolio Holdings 0.00 0 per month 10.13  0.01  23.53 (19.05) 81.54 
WRCDFWirecard AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  33.33  0.00  995.00 
XCLLXcelmobility 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  1,000.00 
CLRICleartronic 0.00 0 per month 5.97  0.06  20.00 (11.33) 78.19 
WDLFSocial Life Network 0.00 0 per month 12.53  0.11  33.33 (25.00) 58.33 
XELAExela Technologies 0.00 0 per month 55.52  0.33  1,500 (94.44) 3,997 
ROIUFRoute1 Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  54.77 
OPTLOptimum Interactive USA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OMQSOmniq Corp 0.00 0 per month 7.72  0.01  19.70 (15.38) 60.99 
DTMXFDatametrex AI Limited 0.00 0 per month 7.27  0.01  14.00 (13.41) 74.48 

Other Forecasting Options for AB International

For every potential investor in ABQQ, whether a beginner or expert, AB International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ABQQ Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ABQQ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AB International's price trends.

AB International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AB International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AB International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AB International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AB International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AB International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AB International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AB International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify AB International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AB International Risk Indicators

The analysis of AB International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AB International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abqq pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for AB International

The number of cover stories for AB International depends on current market conditions and AB International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AB International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AB International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for ABQQ Pink Sheet Analysis

When running AB International's price analysis, check to measure AB International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AB International is operating at the current time. Most of AB International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AB International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AB International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AB International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.