Absci Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ABSI Stock | USD 3.44 0.58 14.43% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Absci Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.99. Absci Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Absci Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 9th of January 2026, the RSI of Absci Corp's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Absci Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.80) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.67) | Wall Street Target Price 8.2571 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.21) |
Using Absci Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Absci Corp from the perspective of Absci Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Absci Corp using Absci Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Absci using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Absci Corp's stock price.
Absci Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Absci Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Absci. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Absci Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.08 | Short Percent 0.2582 | Short Ratio 7.89 | Shares Short Prior Month 32.4 M | 50 Day MA 3.5017 |
Absci Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Absci Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Absci. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Absci can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Absci Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Absci Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Absci Corp.
Absci Corp Implied Volatility | 1.37 |
Absci Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Absci Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Absci Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Absci Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Absci Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Absci Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.99. Absci Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 4.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Absci Corp to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Absci Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Absci Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Absci Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Absci Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Absci Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Absci Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Absci Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Absci. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Absci Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Absci price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Absci using various technical indicators. When you analyze Absci charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Absci Corp Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Absci Corp's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 38 M | Current Value 9.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 84.1 M |
Absci Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Absci Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Absci Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Absci Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Absci Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Absci Corp | Absci Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Absci Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Absci Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Absci Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.42, respectively. We have considered Absci Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Absci Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Absci Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1127 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1802 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0493 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.9892 |
Predictive Modules for Absci Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Absci Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Absci Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Absci Corp
For every potential investor in Absci, whether a beginner or expert, Absci Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Absci Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Absci. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Absci Corp's price trends.Absci Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Absci Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Absci Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Absci Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Absci Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Absci Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Absci Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Absci Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Absci Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Absci Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Absci Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Absci Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Absci Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Absci Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Absci Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting absci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.72 | |||
| Variance | 45.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 29.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Absci Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Absci Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Absci Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Absci Corp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Absci Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Absci Stock please use our How to Invest in Absci Corp guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Absci Corp. If investors know Absci will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Absci Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.91) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.78) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Absci Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Absci that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Absci Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Absci Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Absci Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Absci Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Absci Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Absci Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Absci Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.