Absci Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ABSI Stock | USD 2.56 0.01 0.39% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Absci Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.72. Absci Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Absci Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Absci |
Absci Corp Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Absci Corp's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 72.4 M | Current Value 102.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 64.5 M |
Absci Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Absci Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Absci Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Absci Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Absci Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Absci Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Absci Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Absci Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.57, respectively. We have considered Absci Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Absci Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Absci Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9997 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1594 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0438 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.724 |
Predictive Modules for Absci Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Absci Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Absci Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Absci Corp
For every potential investor in Absci, whether a beginner or expert, Absci Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Absci Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Absci. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Absci Corp's price trends.Absci Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Absci Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Absci Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Absci Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Absci Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Absci Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Absci Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Absci Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Absci Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Absci Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Absci Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Absci Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Absci Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Absci Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Absci Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting absci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.6 | |||
| Variance | 21.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether Absci Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Absci Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Absci Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Absci Corp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Absci Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Absci Stock please use our How to Invest in Absci Corp guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Absci Corp. If investors know Absci will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Absci Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.93) | Revenue Per Share 0.04 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.286 | Return On Assets (0.27) | Return On Equity (0.49) |
The market value of Absci Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Absci that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Absci Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Absci Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Absci Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Absci Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Absci Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Absci Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Absci Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.