American Bitcoin Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ABTC Stock | 1.56 0.03 1.89% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast American Bitcoin stock prices and determine the direction of American Bitcoin Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Bitcoin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of American Bitcoin's share price is below 30 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Bitcoin Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 29
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Bitcoin Corp from the perspective of American Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of American Bitcoin Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.63. American Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | USD 1.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections. American Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Bitcoin Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of American Bitcoin Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Bitcoin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Bitcoin Stock Forecast Pattern
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American Bitcoin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Bitcoin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Bitcoin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.45, respectively. We have considered American Bitcoin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Bitcoin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Bitcoin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3655 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0598 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1272 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0488 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.63 |
Predictive Modules for American Bitcoin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Bitcoin Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Bitcoin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Bitcoin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Bitcoin's historical news coverage. American Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 8.45, respectively. We have considered American Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Bitcoin is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Bitcoin Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Bitcoin Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.66 | 6.89 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.56 | 1.56 | 0.00 |
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American Bitcoin Hype Timeline
American Bitcoin Corp is presently traded for 1.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.19. American is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.66%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Bitcoin is about 6097.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.75. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. American Bitcoin Corp had 1:5 split on the 3rd of September 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections.American Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how American Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TIGR | Up Fintech Holding | (0.18) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.73 | (6.12) | 16.96 | |
| MSTR | MicroStrategy Incorporated | 0.07 | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.78 | (7.55) | 15.68 | |
| GEMI | Gemini Space Station | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.34 | (10.18) | 44.06 | |
| TREE | Lendingtree | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.73 | (6.50) | 20.45 | |
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.64 | (5.57) | 14.61 | |
| AMRK | Gold Inc | 0.48 | 3 per month | 17.88 | 0.17 | 7.21 | (4.46) | 1,099 | |
| MFH | Mercurity Fintech Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 19.91 | (17.47) | 46.71 | |
| DEFT | DeFi Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 9.78 | (13.89) | 36.00 | |
| OPY | Oppenheimer Holdings | 0.76 | 4 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 3.11 | (2.18) | 8.88 | |
| FMBH | First Mid Illinois | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.15 | 3.31 | (1.22) | 9.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for American Bitcoin
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Bitcoin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Bitcoin's price trends.American Bitcoin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Bitcoin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Bitcoin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Bitcoin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Bitcoin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Bitcoin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Bitcoin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Bitcoin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Bitcoin Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 389252.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.57 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 29.58 |
American Bitcoin Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Bitcoin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Bitcoin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.89 | |||
| Variance | 47.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Bitcoin
The number of cover stories for American Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and American Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Bitcoin Short Properties
American Bitcoin's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Bitcoin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Bitcoin Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Bitcoin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Bitcoin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 908.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 92.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could American diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Bitcoin. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every American Bitcoin data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of American Bitcoin Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Bitcoin's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because American Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Bitcoin's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Bitcoin represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, American Bitcoin's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.