Air Canada OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ACDVF Stock | USD 14.16 0.09 0.64% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Air Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 14.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.54. Air OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Air Canada's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, The value of RSI of Air Canada's share price is at 54. This suggests that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Air Canada, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Air Canada based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Air Canada hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air Canada from the perspective of Air Canada response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Air Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 14.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.54. Air Canada after-hype prediction price | USD 14.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Air |
Air Canada Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Air Canada Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Air Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 14.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Air OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Air Canada's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Air Canada OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Air Canada | Air Canada Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Air Canada Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Air Canada's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Air Canada's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.32 and 15.67, respectively. We have considered Air Canada's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Air Canada otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Air Canada otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2499 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2184 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.54 |
Predictive Modules for Air Canada
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Canada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air Canada's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Air Canada After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Air Canada at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air Canada or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Air Canada, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Air Canada Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Air Canada's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air Canada's historical news coverage. Air Canada's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.49 and 15.83, respectively. We have considered Air Canada's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Air Canada is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air Canada is based on 3 months time horizon.
Air Canada OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Air Canada is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Canada backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air Canada, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.16 | 14.16 | 0.00 |
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Air Canada Hype Timeline
Air Canada is presently traded for 14.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Air is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Air Canada is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.16. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 7.06. Air Canada had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Air Canada to cross-verify your projections.Air Canada Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Air Canada's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air Canada's future price movements. Getting to know how Air Canada's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air Canada may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFRAF | Air France KLM SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.86 | (0.09) | 23.87 | |
| EJTTF | easyJet plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 13.70 | |
| SPASF | SATS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.34 | |
| PUODY | Promotora y Operadora | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.03 | 3.45 | (3.80) | 12.05 | |
| GAERF | Grupo Aeroportuario del | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 7.17 | 0.00 | 28.86 | |
| SHMUF | Shimizu | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.64 | |
| TLPFY | Teleperformance PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.25 | (3.58) | 10.20 | |
| SNOTF | Sinotrans Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.51 | |
| ISFFF | ISS AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.54 | |
| ESYJY | EasyJet PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | (0.02) | 3.38 | (2.33) | 8.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for Air Canada
For every potential investor in Air, whether a beginner or expert, Air Canada's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Air OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Air. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Air Canada's price trends.Air Canada Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Air Canada otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Air Canada could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Canada by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Air Canada Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Air Canada otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Air Canada shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Air Canada otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Air Canada entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Air Canada Risk Indicators
The analysis of Air Canada's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Air Canada's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting air otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Air Canada
The number of cover stories for Air Canada depends on current market conditions and Air Canada's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air Canada is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air Canada's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Air OTC Stock
Air Canada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Air OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Air with respect to the benefits of owning Air Canada security.