Acadia Healthcare Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

ACHC Stock  USD 13.04  0.40  2.98%   
Acadia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Acadia Healthcare stock prices and determine the direction of Acadia Healthcare's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Acadia Healthcare's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Acadia Healthcare's share price is approaching 39. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Acadia Healthcare, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Acadia Healthcare's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Acadia Healthcare, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Acadia Healthcare's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5868
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9828
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.7415
Wall Street Target Price
19.0714
Using Acadia Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acadia Healthcare from the perspective of Acadia Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Acadia Healthcare using Acadia Healthcare's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Acadia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Acadia Healthcare's stock price.

Acadia Healthcare Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Acadia Healthcare's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Acadia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Acadia Healthcare stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
20.717
Short Percent
0.2832
Short Ratio
8.1
Shares Short Prior Month
19.4 M
50 Day MA
14.5494

Acadia Relative Strength Index

Acadia Healthcare Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Acadia Healthcare's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Acadia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Acadia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Acadia Healthcare. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Acadia Healthcare's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Acadia Healthcare.

Acadia Healthcare Implied Volatility

    
  1.08  
Acadia Healthcare's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Acadia Healthcare stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Acadia Healthcare's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Acadia Healthcare stock will not fluctuate a lot when Acadia Healthcare's options are near their expiration.

Acadia Healthcare after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acadia Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Acadia Stock refer to our How to Trade Acadia Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Acadia contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Acadia Healthcare will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0675% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Acadia Healthcare trading at USD 13.04, that is roughly USD 0.008802 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Acadia Healthcare's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Acadia Healthcare options at the current volatility level of 1.08%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Acadia Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Acadia Healthcare's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Acadia Healthcare's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Acadia Healthcare stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Acadia Healthcare's open interest, investors have to compare it to Acadia Healthcare's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Acadia Healthcare is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Acadia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Acadia Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Acadia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acadia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acadia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Acadia Healthcare has current Accumulation Distribution of 0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Acadia Healthcare is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Acadia Healthcare to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Acadia Healthcare trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Acadia Healthcare VolatilityBacktest Acadia HealthcareInformation Ratio  

Acadia Healthcare Trading Date Momentum

On January 29 2026 Acadia Healthcare was traded for  13.04  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 13.04  and the lowest listed price was  13.04 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 29, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.07% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Acadia Healthcare to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Acadia Healthcare

For every potential investor in Acadia, whether a beginner or expert, Acadia Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acadia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acadia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acadia Healthcare's price trends.

Acadia Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acadia Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acadia Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acadia Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Acadia Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acadia Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acadia Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acadia Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acadia Healthcare entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Acadia Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Acadia Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acadia Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acadia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Acadia Healthcare

The number of cover stories for Acadia Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Acadia Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acadia Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acadia Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Acadia Healthcare Short Properties

Acadia Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acadia Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acadia Healthcare often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acadia Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadia Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76.3 M
When determining whether Acadia Healthcare offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Acadia Healthcare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Acadia Healthcare Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Acadia Healthcare Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acadia Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Acadia Stock refer to our How to Trade Acadia Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Health Care Providers & Services sector continue expanding? Could Acadia diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acadia Healthcare. If investors know Acadia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Acadia Healthcare data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Earnings Share
1.16
Revenue Per Share
35.87
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.044
Return On Assets
0.0452
The market value of Acadia Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acadia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acadia Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acadia Healthcare's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Acadia Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acadia Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Acadia Healthcare's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Acadia Healthcare represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Acadia Healthcare's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.