Albertsons Companies Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ACI Stock | USD 17.22 0.16 0.94% |
Albertsons Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Albertsons Companies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Albertsons Companies' share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Albertsons Companies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1454 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3 | Wall Street Target Price 22 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.6818 |
Using Albertsons Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Albertsons Companies from the perspective of Albertsons Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Albertsons Companies using Albertsons Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Albertsons using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Albertsons Companies' stock price.
Albertsons Companies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Albertsons Companies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Albertsons. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Albertsons Companies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.4517 | Short Percent 0.101 | Short Ratio 4.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 49.1 M | 50 Day MA 17.4548 |
Albertsons Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Albertsons Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 16.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.06.Albertsons Companies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Albertsons Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Albertsons. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Albertsons can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Albertsons Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Albertsons Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Albertsons Companies.
Albertsons Companies Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Albertsons Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Albertsons Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Albertsons Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Albertsons Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Albertsons Companies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Albertsons Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 16.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.06.
Albertsons Companies after-hype prediction price | USD 17.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Albertsons | Build AI portfolio with Albertsons Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Albertsons contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Albertsons Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Albertsons Companies trading at USD 17.22, that is roughly USD 0.005274 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Albertsons Companies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Albertsons Companies options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Albertsons Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Albertsons Companies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Albertsons Companies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Albertsons Companies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Albertsons Companies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Albertsons Companies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Albertsons Companies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Albertsons. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Albertsons Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Albertsons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Albertsons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Albertsons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Albertsons Companies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Albertsons Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 16.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Albertsons Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Albertsons Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Albertsons Companies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Albertsons Companies | Albertsons Companies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Albertsons Companies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Albertsons Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Albertsons Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.38 and 18.35, respectively. We have considered Albertsons Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Albertsons Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Albertsons Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6754 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2428 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.0552 |
Predictive Modules for Albertsons Companies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Albertsons Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Albertsons Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Albertsons Companies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Albertsons Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Albertsons Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Albertsons Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Albertsons Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Albertsons Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Albertsons Companies' historical news coverage. Albertsons Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.74 and 18.70, respectively. We have considered Albertsons Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Albertsons Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Albertsons Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Albertsons Companies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Albertsons Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Albertsons Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Albertsons Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.49 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.22 | 17.22 | 0.00 |
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Albertsons Companies Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Albertsons Companies is traded for 17.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Albertsons is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Albertsons Companies is about 2365.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.22. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Albertsons Companies was presently reported as 4.87. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. Albertsons Companies last dividend was issued on the 23rd of January 2026. The entity had 3:1 split on the July 11, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Albertsons Companies to cross-verify your projections.Albertsons Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Albertsons Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Albertsons Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Albertsons Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Albertsons Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMLAF | Empire Company Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.19 | (2.89) | 12.94 | |
| CVPBF | CP ALL Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | 0.02 | 4.55 | (5.71) | 40.66 | |
| JSNSF | J Sainsbury plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.74 | 0.03 | 7.38 | (8.37) | 27.86 | |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market | (0.11) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.16 | (3.68) | 26.63 | |
| KKOYF | Kesko Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.14 | |
| CRERF | Carrefour SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | 0.03 | 4.56 | (3.84) | 19.82 | |
| BMBRF | Bim Birlesik Magazalar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.40 | |
| GCHEF | Grupo Comercial Chedraui | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.68 | (3.94) | 16.93 | |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market | 0.74 | 5 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.82 | (2.01) | 7.68 | |
| CUYTF | Etn Fr Colruyt | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Albertsons Companies
For every potential investor in Albertsons, whether a beginner or expert, Albertsons Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Albertsons Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Albertsons. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Albertsons Companies' price trends.Albertsons Companies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Albertsons Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Albertsons Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Albertsons Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Albertsons Companies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Albertsons Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Albertsons Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Albertsons Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Albertsons Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Albertsons Companies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Albertsons Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Albertsons Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting albertsons stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.21 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Albertsons Companies
The number of cover stories for Albertsons Companies depends on current market conditions and Albertsons Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Albertsons Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Albertsons Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Albertsons Companies Short Properties
Albertsons Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Albertsons Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Albertsons Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Albertsons Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Albertsons Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 583.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 339.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Albertsons Companies to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Albertsons Stock please use our How to Invest in Albertsons Companies guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Albertsons Companies. If investors know Albertsons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Albertsons Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.019 |
The market value of Albertsons Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Albertsons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Albertsons Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Albertsons Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Albertsons Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Albertsons Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Albertsons Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Albertsons Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Albertsons Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.