Axcelis Technologies Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ACLS Stock | USD 93.90 4.86 5.46% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Axcelis Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 96.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.02. Axcelis Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Axcelis Technologies' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9543 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.4571 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.5643 | Wall Street Target Price 96.8 |
Using Axcelis Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axcelis Technologies from the perspective of Axcelis Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Axcelis Technologies using Axcelis Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Axcelis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Axcelis Technologies' stock price.
Axcelis Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Axcelis Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Axcelis Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Axcelis Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 73.305 | Short Percent 0.1994 | Short Ratio 7.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.1 M | 50 Day MA 83.5348 |
Axcelis Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Axcelis Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Axcelis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Axcelis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Axcelis Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Axcelis Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Axcelis Technologies.
Axcelis Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Axcelis Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Axcelis Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Axcelis Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Axcelis Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Axcelis Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Axcelis Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 96.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.02. Axcelis Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 93.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Axcelis Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Axcelis Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Axcelis Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Axcelis Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Axcelis Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Axcelis Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Axcelis Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Axcelis Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Axcelis. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Axcelis Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Axcelis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axcelis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axcelis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Axcelis Technologies Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Axcelis Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 96.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08, mean absolute percentage error of 7.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Axcelis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Axcelis Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Axcelis Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Axcelis Technologies | Axcelis Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Axcelis Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Axcelis Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Axcelis Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.71 and 99.46, respectively. We have considered Axcelis Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Axcelis Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Axcelis Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4105 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0837 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0249 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 125.0208 |
Predictive Modules for Axcelis Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axcelis Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Axcelis Technologies
For every potential investor in Axcelis, whether a beginner or expert, Axcelis Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Axcelis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Axcelis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Axcelis Technologies' price trends.Axcelis Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Axcelis Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Axcelis Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axcelis Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Axcelis Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Axcelis Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Axcelis Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Axcelis Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Axcelis Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Axcelis Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Axcelis Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Axcelis Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 39315.48 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8602 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 92.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 93.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.66 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 4.86 |
Axcelis Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Axcelis Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Axcelis Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting axcelis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Axcelis Stock Analysis
When running Axcelis Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Axcelis Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axcelis Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Axcelis Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axcelis Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axcelis Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axcelis Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.